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Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Tokushima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Sapporo Dome, Sapporo
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Vini Peixoto
Assist: Puethong T.
58' Event
Shirai H.
Assist: Vini Peixoto
59'
Sub
Horigome Y. In: Kido S.
Out: Horigome Y.

AI Match Summary

The J2 League game between Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo and Tokushima finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
15%
Draws
51%
Tokushima
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tokushima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Tokushima carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Clean Sheet 68%
Tokushima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Tokushima
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 3 1
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 J2 League
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Tokushima
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 J2 League
Tokushima vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 J2 League
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Tokushima
1:0
Jul 4, 2021 J1 League
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Tokushima
1:0
May 9, 2021 J1 League
Tokushima vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vini Peixoto
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shirai H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tokushima Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 41 / 100
Tokushima 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Tokushima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Tokushima's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: Tokushima conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo VS Tokushima
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

(Home)
10 Oct
Iwata
1 : 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
04 Oct
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
2 : 1
Iwaki
29 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 2
Okayama
26 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
19 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 1
Oita Trinita
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Tokushima

(Away)
10 Oct
Tokushima
1 : 2
Imabari
03 Oct
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1
Tokushima
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0
Tochigi City
23 Sept
Gamba Osaka
5 : 0
Tokushima
19 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Tokushima
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
2 Omiya Ardija 10 5 5 0 20:9 20
3 Albirex Niigata 10 6 2 2 14:14 20
4 Toyama 10 5 3 2 19:10 18
5 Yokohama FC 10 5 2 3 19:13 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 10 4 5 1 11:9 17
7 Oita Trinita 10 3 5 2 11:8 14
8 Fujieda MYFC 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
9 Blaublitz 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
10 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 10 3 4 3 14:14 13
11 Iwata 10 4 1 5 12:13 13
12 Tokushima 10 4 1 5 10:12 13
13 Montedio Yamagata 10 4 0 6 11:9 12
14 Iwaki 10 4 0 6 13:17 12
15 Sagan Tosu 10 3 2 5 9:12 11
16 Tochigi City 10 3 1 6 16:17 10
17 Imabari 10 3 1 6 11:19 10
18 Kofu 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
19 Vanraure 10 3 1 6 6:17 10
20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 10 2 2 6 12:19 8
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