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Holbaek vs BK Frem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Garly M.
(Penalty)
55' Event
Rasmussen M.
89' Event
Bentsen N.

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division game between Holbaek and BK Frem finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holbaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Holbaek
15%
Draws
8%
BK Frem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Holbaek come out ahead of BK Frem on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Holbaek's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Holbaek have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 10%
BK Frem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holbaek BK Frem
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 22 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.55 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 3rd Division
Holbaek vs BK Frem
2:1
May 23, 2026 3rd Division
BK Frem vs Holbaek
1:3
Apr 25, 2026 3rd Division
Holbaek vs BK Frem
4:1
Oct 25, 2025 3rd Division
BK Frem vs Holbaek
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 3rd Division
Holbaek vs BK Frem
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holbaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Bentsen N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

BK Frem Compare

Top Goalscorer Rasmussen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holbaek 83 / 100
BK Frem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holbaek BK Frem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holbaek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holbaek's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

BK Frem let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Holbaek has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Holbaek VS BK Frem
2.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Holbaek

(Home)
03 Oct
Holbaek
2 : 1
ASA Aarhus
25 Sept
Helsingor
5 : 1
Holbaek
18 Sept
Holbaek
5 : 2
Ringsted
13 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 1
Holbaek
05 Sept
Ishoj IF
0 : 4
Holbaek
Page 1 of 7

BK Frem

(Away)
03 Oct
Bronshoj
1 : 1
BK Frem
26 Sept
BK Frem
0 : 3
Sundby
19 Sept
Ishoj IF
3 : 2
BK Frem
13 Sept
Holstebro
3 : 2
BK Frem
09 Sept
BK Frem
1 : 2
Roskilde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holbaek 10 7 1 2 26:18 22
2 Bronshoj 10 5 4 1 18:10 19
3 Vanlose 10 5 4 1 16:9 19
4 Naesby 10 5 2 3 20:14 17
5 Helsingor 10 5 2 3 18:14 17
6 ASA Aarhus 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
7 Holstebro 10 4 1 5 16:22 13
8 Horsholm-Usserod 10 3 3 4 20:19 12
9 Sundby 10 3 1 6 14:16 10
10 BK Frem 10 2 3 5 17:19 9
11 Ishoj IF 10 2 2 6 9:19 8
12 Ringsted 10 1 2 7 13:27 5
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)