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Holbaek vs Svebolle

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division East
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Jensen T.
44' Event
Tingager F.

AI Match Summary

Holbaek in this 2nd Division East matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Holbaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Holbaek
15%
Draws
17%
Svebolle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Holbaek lately — more wins on the board than Svebolle.
  • Model gives Holbaek a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Holbaek have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 20%
Svebolle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holbaek Svebolle
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 22 3
Draws 8 2
Losses 6 25
Goals Scored 2.25 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2015 2nd Division East
Holbaek vs Svebolle
2:0
Sep 21, 2014 2nd Division East
Svebolle vs Holbaek
2:6
Jun 9, 2014 2nd Division East
Svebolle vs Holbaek
1:3
Sep 29, 2013 2nd Division East
Holbaek vs Svebolle
1:0
Jun 5, 2013 2nd Division East
Svebolle vs Holbaek
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holbaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Jensen T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tingager F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Svebolle Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holbaek 85 / 100
Svebolle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holbaek Svebolle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holbaek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holbaek's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Svebolle let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Holbaek remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Holbaek VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Holbaek

(Home)
18 Sept
Holbaek
5 : 2
Ringsted
13 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 1
Holbaek
05 Sept
Ishoj IF
0 : 4
Holbaek
29 Aug
Holbaek
3 : 2
Naesby
21 Aug
Bronshoj
1 : 4
Holbaek
Page 1 of 8

Svebolle

(Away)
06 Aug
Svebolle
0 : 1
Nykobing
31 Aug
Svebolle
0 : 1
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
04 Aug
Svebolle
1 : 0
Greve IF
20 Jun
Holbaek
2 : 0
Svebolle
13 Jun
Svebolle
0 : 3
BK Frem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Helsingor 30 22 5 3 59:22 71
2 BK Frem 30 18 7 5 58:28 61
3 Hvidovre IF 30 16 9 5 67:38 57
4 Fremad Amager 30 16 8 6 55:35 56
5 Nykobing 30 17 4 9 69:34 55
6 Hellerup 30 13 9 8 61:36 48
7 Boldklubben 1893 30 11 10 9 36:35 43
8 Avarta 30 11 9 10 57:48 42
9 Holbaek 30 10 11 9 41:44 41
10 B 1908 30 8 13 9 42:36 37
11 Rishoj 30 9 9 12 31:40 36
12 Avedore 30 9 9 12 33:46 36
13 Gentofte-Vangede 30 6 8 16 28:57 26
14 Sollerod-Ved. 30 4 9 17 30:62 21
15 Herlev 30 2 8 20 29:78 14
16 Svebolle 30 2 4 24 20:77 10
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