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Stadium Background

Holesov vs Nove Sady - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group E Stadion Strelnice, Holesov
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - Group E game between Holesov and Nove Sady finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holesov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Holesov
30%
Draws
47%
Nove Sady
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nove Sady

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Nove Sady haven't matched Holesov's recent run of results.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Holesov here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Holesov Clean Sheet 20%
Nove Sady Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holesov Nove Sady
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 3
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.45 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 4. liga - Group E
Holesov vs Nove Sady
4:3
May 23, 2026 4. liga - Group E
Holesov vs Nove Sady
4:0
Oct 18, 2025 4. liga - Group E
Nove Sady vs Holesov
0:2
May 24, 2025 4. liga - Group E
Nove Sady vs Holesov
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 4. liga - Group E
Holesov vs Nove Sady
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holesov 36 / 100
Nove Sady 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holesov Nove Sady

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nove Sady Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nove Sady's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Holesov found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Away concern: Nove Sady has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Holesov VS Nove Sady
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 4.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Holesov

(Home)
04 Oct
Lanzhot
2 : 0
Holesov
26 Sept
Holesov
1 : 1
FK Kozlovice
18 Sept
Hluk
2 : 2
Holesov
12 Sept
Holesov
1 : 2
Breclav
05 Sept
SK Krumvir
1 : 0
Holesov
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Nove Sady

(Away)
03 Oct
Nove Sady
2 : 3
Brumov
25 Sept
Batov
3 : 5
Nove Sady
19 Sept
Nove Sady
1 : 1
Prostejov B
13 Sept
Kromeriz B
3 : 1
Nove Sady
05 Sept
Nove Sady
0 : 6
Sternberk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vsechovice 9 8 0 1 31:9 24
2 Strani 9 7 1 1 35:14 22
3 FK Kozlovice 9 6 3 0 23:8 21
4 SK Krumvir 9 6 1 2 15:12 19
5 Lanzhot 9 6 0 3 15:11 18
6 Breclav 9 4 3 2 14:9 15
7 Prostejov B 10 4 3 3 21:20 15
8 Hluk 9 3 5 1 20:11 14
9 Sternberk 9 4 1 4 18:16 13
10 Slavicin 9 4 1 4 18:17 13
11 Holesov 9 2 4 3 15:14 10
12 Brumov 9 2 1 6 14:28 7
13 Bzenec-Vracov 10 2 0 8 15:32 6
14 Kromeriz B 9 1 2 6 7:17 5
15 Nove Sady 9 1 1 7 12:36 4
16 Batov 9 0 0 9 9:28 0
Promotion - 3. MSFL 2027/2028 (Main)