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Holland Park Hawks vs Redlands

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Whites Hill Reserve
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AI Match Summary

Holland Park Hawks play Redlands in the Queensland Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Holland Park Hawks averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Redlands averaged 1.86 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Holland Park Hawks won 0, Redlands won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 26, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Holland Park Hawks and 2.38 for Redlands. This points to a Redlands double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Holland Park Hawks
15%
Draws
44%
Redlands
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Redlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Holland Park Hawks picked up more points recently compared to Redlands.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 2.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Holland Park Hawks Clean Sheet 10%
Redlands Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holland Park Hawks Redlands
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.8 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Redlands
1:4
Mar 20, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Holland Park Hawks
3:2
Jun 3, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Holland Park Hawks
4:3
Feb 21, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Redlands
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holland Park Hawks Compare

Top Goalscorer Wieser K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Redlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Hugh J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lockyer F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holland Park Hawks 39 / 100
Redlands 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holland Park Hawks Redlands

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Redlands or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Holland Park Hawks attacking → ← attacking Redlands

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holland Park Hawks scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Redlands let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Holland Park Hawks went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Redlands lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 35
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Broadbeach Utd.17143046:1545
2Brisbane Strikers17133142:1442
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1785436:2229
4Ipswich1784527:2428
5Caboolture1782734:3026
6Robina City1774628:2025
7Redlands1773734:3124
8Holland Park Hawks1772829:3323
9Logan Lightning1762930:3320
10North Star17321216:3711
11St. George Willawong17311310:3910
12Capalaba FC17211416:507