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Holland Park Hawks vs St. George Willawong

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Whites Hill Reserve, Brisbane
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
McAuley C.
42' Event
Marjanovic J.
68' Event
McAuley C.

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between Holland Park Hawks and St. George Willawong finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holland Park Hawks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Holland Park Hawks
44%
Draws
20%
St. George Willawong
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Holland Park Hawks come out ahead of St. George Willawong on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Holland Park Hawks Clean Sheet 15%
St. George Willawong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holland Park Hawks St. George Willawong
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs St. George Willawong
2:1
Mar 15, 2026 Queensland Premier League
St. George Willawong vs Holland Park Hawks
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holland Park Hawks Compare

Top Goalscorer McAuley C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

St. George Willawong Compare

Top Goalscorer Marjanovic J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holland Park Hawks 35 / 100
St. George Willawong 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holland Park Hawks St. George Willawong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holland Park Hawks scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

St. George Willawong let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Holland Park Hawks went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holland Park Hawks VS St. George Willawong
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Holland Park Hawks

(Home)
19 Jul
Capalaba FC
3 : 0
Holland Park Hawks
10 Jul
Holland Park Hawks
0 : 0
North Star
03 Jul
Ipswich
3 : 3
Holland Park Hawks
26 Jun
Holland Park Hawks
1 : 4
Redlands
23 Jun
Logan Lightning
2 : 3
Holland Park Hawks
Page 1 of 6

St. George Willawong

(Away)
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0
Caboolture
11 Jul
St. George Willawong
0 : 2
Robina City
04 Jul
Capalaba FC
0 : 2
St. George Willawong
27 Jun
St. George Willawong
2 : 0
North Star
19 Jun
Holland Park Hawks
2 : 1
St. George Willawong
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brisbane Strikers19153146:1548
2Broadbeach Utd.19144148:1846
3Ipswich1994632:2931
4Sunshine Coast Wanderers1986538:2630
5Robina City1985631:2129
6Caboolture1983835:3227
7Redlands1975736:3326
8Logan Lightning1973935:3724
9Holland Park Hawks1973929:3624
10St. George Willawong19411411:4113
11North Star19331318:4012
12Capalaba FC19321420:5111
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)