Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hollenbach vs Mutschelbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Malsam J.
27' Event
Scherer H.
(Penalty)
29' Event
Kendel F.

AI Match Summary

Mutschelbach in this Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mutschelbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Hollenbach
20%
Draws
50%
Mutschelbach
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mutschelbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Mutschelbach average 1.8 goals a game right now, well clear of Hollenbach's 1.58.
  • Win probability leans Mutschelbach's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Hollenbach Clean Sheet 16%
Mutschelbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hollenbach Mutschelbach
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.58 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.06 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2023 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Hollenbach vs Mutschelbach
2:4
Aug 5, 2023 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Mutschelbach vs Hollenbach
1:3
Nov 19, 2022 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Hollenbach vs Mutschelbach
3:0
Aug 6, 2022 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Mutschelbach vs Hollenbach
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hollenbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Scherer H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Mutschelbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Kendel F.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Malsam J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hollenbach 10 / 100
Mutschelbach 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hollenbach Mutschelbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mutschelbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mutschelbach conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Hollenbach found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Hollenbach has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hollenbach VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hollenbach

(Home)
25 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 5
VfB Stuttgart
04 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 4
Ansbach
30 May
Hollenbach
4 : 3
1. CfR Pforzheim
23 May
Turkspor Neckarsulm
2 : 0
Hollenbach
16 May
Hollenbach
1 : 2
FC 08 Villingen
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Mutschelbach

(Away)
01 Jun
Reutlingen
6 : 0
Mutschelbach
18 May
Mutschelbach
2 : 0
Goppinger
12 May
Backnang
1 : 1
Mutschelbach
09 May
Mutschelbach
1 : 4
FC 08 Villingen
04 May
TSV Essingen
0 : 0
Mutschelbach
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC 08 Villingen 34 22 6 6 84:40 72
2 Goppinger 34 20 9 5 71:37 69
3 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 34 20 8 6 77:27 68
4 1. CfR Pforzheim 34 18 10 6 79:46 64
5 FC Nottingen 34 17 9 8 76:41 60
6 Hollenbach 34 14 7 13 61:68 49
7 FC Normannia Gmund 34 13 9 12 46:43 48
8 TSV Essingen 34 13 7 14 45:52 46
9 VfR Mannheim 34 13 4 17 46:59 43
10 Oberachern 34 10 12 12 52:62 42
11 Backnang 34 11 9 14 44:56 42
12 Mutschelbach 34 10 11 13 67:83 41
13 Ravensburg 34 9 13 12 50:60 40
14 Bietigheim-Bissingen 34 11 6 17 56:60 39
15 Reutlingen 34 10 7 17 56:63 37
16 Holzhausen FC 34 10 6 18 47:60 36
17 Denzlingen 34 10 6 18 46:76 36
18 Offenburger 34 3 5 26 35:105 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bremen 2023/2024 (Promotion)