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Holon Yermiyahu vs H. Herzliya Prediction & H2H Stats

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2025/2026
Fri, Mar 13, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Holon Yermiyahu host H. Herzliya in the Liga Alef South 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Holon Yermiyahu at 1.17 goals for, 1.39 against; H. Herzliya at 0.81 for, 1.43 against. Past meetings favor Holon Yermiyahu slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 13, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.32 - 0.69) back Holon Yermiyahu to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Holon Yermiyahu
30%
Draws
43%
H. Herzliya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: H. Herzliya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Holon Yermiyahu lately — more wins on the board than H. Herzliya.
  • H. Herzliya are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Holon Yermiyahu Clean Sheet 20%
H. Herzliya Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holon Yermiyahu H. Herzliya
Matches Played 23 21
Wins 7 5
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.17 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.32 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs H. Herzliya
0:0
Dec 1, 2025 Liga Alef South
H. Herzliya vs Holon Yermiyahu
0:4
Mar 21, 2025 Liga Alef South
H. Herzliya vs Holon Yermiyahu
1:0
Dec 2, 2024 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs H. Herzliya
3:1
Apr 26, 2024 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs H. Herzliya
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holon Yermiyahu 28 / 100
H. Herzliya 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holon Yermiyahu H. Herzliya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick H. Herzliya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holon Yermiyahu found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (23 games).

H. Herzliya let in goals in 71% of their last 21 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Holon Yermiyahu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holon Yermiyahu VS H. Herzliya
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
25% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Holon Yermiyahu

(Home)
30 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2 : 0
Holon Yermiyahu
24 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0
Kfar Saba 1928
17 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
3 : 1
Holon Yermiyahu
09 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0
Hapoel Marmorek
04 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
0 : 0
Ramat Hasharon
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H. Herzliya

(Away)
30 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
0 : 0
H. Herzliya
23 Sept
H. Herzliya
1 : 0
Tzeirei Tira
18 Sept
Maccabi Yavne
0 : 0
H. Herzliya
09 Sept
H. Herzliya
3 : 1
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
03 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
1 : 2
H. Herzliya
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiryat Gat 21 17 4 0 53:18 55
2 Jerusalem FC 22 11 4 7 45:29 37
3 FC Dimona 22 11 4 7 29:30 37
4 Maccabi Yavne 22 10 6 6 42:28 36
5 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 22 10 5 7 27:27 35
6 Tzeirei Tira 21 10 3 8 33:24 33
7 Shimshon Tel Aviv 22 8 6 8 28:28 30
8 Beitar Yavne 22 9 3 10 27:34 30
9 Kfar Saba 1928 22 7 8 7 28:31 29
10 Holon Yermiyahu 22 6 6 10 30:33 24
11 Hapoel Marmorek 22 6 6 10 20:34 24
12 Hapoel Azor 21 5 8 8 17:20 23
13 H. Herzliya 22 5 7 10 22:36 22
14 Ramat Hasharon 22 5 5 12 24:43 19
15 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 21 7 7 7 37:35 16
16 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 22 3 6 13 28:40 15
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)