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Holstein Kiel II vs Heider SV - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
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AI Match Summary

Holstein Kiel II in this Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Holstein Kiel II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Holstein Kiel II
20%
Draws
28%
Heider SV
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Holstein Kiel II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Heider SV haven't matched Holstein Kiel II's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Holstein Kiel II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • Holstein Kiel II have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Holstein Kiel II Clean Sheet 14%
Heider SV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holstein Kiel II Heider SV
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 22 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.88 1.76
Goals Conceded 0.91 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Holstein Kiel II vs Heider SV
5:1
Feb 28, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Holstein Kiel II vs Heider SV
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Heider SV vs Holstein Kiel II
1:6
Jan 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Holstein Kiel II vs Heider SV
2:1
Oct 24, 2021 Regionalliga North
Holstein Kiel II vs Heider SV
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holstein Kiel II 84 / 100
Heider SV 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holstein Kiel II Heider SV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holstein Kiel II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holstein Kiel II's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Heider SV conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Holstein Kiel II stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holstein Kiel II VS Heider SV
3.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Holstein Kiel II

(Home)
03 Oct
Holstein Kiel II
4 : 0
Hohenwestedt
27 Sept
VfR Neumunster
3 : 3
Holstein Kiel II
20 Sept
Holstein Kiel II
7 : 0
Kaltenkirchener
12 Sept
Holstein Kiel II
4 : 3
Oldenburger SV
05 Sept
SC Rapid Lubeck
2 : 3
Holstein Kiel II
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Heider SV

(Away)
04 Oct
Oldenburger SV
4 : 0
Heider SV
26 Sept
Eichede
5 : 1
Heider SV
19 Sept
Heider SV
4 : 1
Kilia Kiel
12 Sept
PSV Neumunster
2 : 4
Heider SV
05 Sept
Heider SV
1 : 1
Rotenhof
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holstein Kiel II 11 8 2 1 40:15 26
2 VfR Neumunster 11 7 3 1 30:15 24
3 Kilia Kiel 11 6 3 2 28:17 21
4 TSB Flensburg 11 6 2 3 32:15 20
5 Rotenhof 11 5 4 2 22:19 19
6 SC Rapid Lubeck 11 6 1 4 24:23 19
7 Oldenburger SV 11 5 2 4 30:24 17
8 Heider SV 11 4 2 5 19:31 14
9 Eichede 11 3 4 4 18:14 13
10 Phonix Lubeck B 11 3 4 4 26:28 13
11 PSV Neumunster 11 3 4 4 21:24 13
12 Nordmark Satrup 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
13 Lubeck II 11 3 1 7 15:28 10
14 Eckernforder SV 11 3 0 8 19:34 9
15 Kaltenkirchener 11 2 2 7 16:33 8
16 Hohenwestedt 11 1 4 6 18:28 7
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Main)