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Holstein Kiel II vs Phonix Lubeck B

Germany Germany

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein game between Holstein Kiel II and Phonix Lubeck B finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Phonix Lubeck B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Holstein Kiel II
35%
Draws
12%
Phonix Lubeck B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Holstein Kiel II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Phonix Lubeck B haven't matched Holstein Kiel II's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Holstein Kiel II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Phonix Lubeck B have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Holstein Kiel II Clean Sheet 10%
Phonix Lubeck B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holstein Kiel II Phonix Lubeck B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.83 2.31
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Holstein Kiel II vs Phonix Lubeck B
3:4
Mar 15, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Holstein Kiel II vs Phonix Lubeck B
1:2
Sep 4, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Phonix Lubeck B vs Holstein Kiel II
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holstein Kiel II 83 / 100
Phonix Lubeck B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holstein Kiel II Phonix Lubeck B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holstein Kiel II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holstein Kiel II scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Phonix Lubeck B has conceded goals in 100% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Holstein Kiel II has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Holstein Kiel II VS Phonix Lubeck B
4 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Holstein Kiel II

(Home)
03 Oct
Holstein Kiel II
4 : 0
Hohenwestedt
27 Sept
VfR Neumunster
3 : 3
Holstein Kiel II
20 Sept
Holstein Kiel II
7 : 0
Kaltenkirchener
12 Sept
Holstein Kiel II
4 : 3
Oldenburger SV
05 Sept
SC Rapid Lubeck
2 : 3
Holstein Kiel II
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Phonix Lubeck B

(Away)
03 Oct
Phonix Lubeck B
1 : 3
Eichede
26 Sept
Kilia Kiel
2 : 2
Phonix Lubeck B
19 Sept
Phonix Lubeck B
3 : 3
PSV Neumunster
12 Sept
Rotenhof
2 : 1
Phonix Lubeck B
05 Sept
Phonix Lubeck B
4 : 4
TSB Flensburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holstein Kiel II 11 8 2 1 40:15 26
2 VfR Neumunster 11 7 3 1 30:15 24
3 Kilia Kiel 11 6 3 2 28:17 21
4 TSB Flensburg 11 6 2 3 32:15 20
5 Rotenhof 11 5 4 2 22:19 19
6 SC Rapid Lubeck 11 6 1 4 24:23 19
7 Oldenburger SV 11 5 2 4 30:24 17
8 Heider SV 11 4 2 5 19:31 14
9 Eichede 11 3 4 4 18:14 13
10 Phonix Lubeck B 11 3 4 4 26:28 13
11 PSV Neumunster 11 3 4 4 21:24 13
12 Nordmark Satrup 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
13 Lubeck II 11 3 1 7 15:28 10
14 Eckernforder SV 11 3 0 8 19:34 9
15 Kaltenkirchener 11 2 2 7 16:33 8
16 Hohenwestedt 11 1 4 6 18:28 7
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Main)