Sport Picks
Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
2. Bundesliga Holstein-Stadion, Kiel 
AI Match Summary
Holstein Kiel host Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Holstein Kiel have averaged 1.41 scored and 1.44 conceded recently, against Arminia Bielefeld's 2.28 scored and 1.52 conceded. Head-to-head, Holstein Kiel have won 0 to Arminia Bielefeld's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 23, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.31, favoring Arminia Bielefeld. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Arminia Bielefeld lately — more wins on the board than Holstein Kiel.
- Model gives Holstein Kiel a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular 2. Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Arminia Bielefeld have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Arminia Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 2.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.44 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Holstein Kiel's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Arminia Bielefeld let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Holstein Kiel has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Holstein Kiel
(Home)Arminia Bielefeld
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha Berlin | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:8 | 22 |
| 2 | Nurnberg | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 21:11 | 18 |
| 3 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:14 | 16 |
| 4 | Kaiserslautern | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Heidenheim | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:15 | 14 |
| 6 | Magdeburg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 13 |
| 7 | St. Pauli | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 8 | Arminia Bielefeld | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 9 | Energie Cottbus | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 16:17 | 9 |
| 10 | Greuther Furth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 9 |
| 11 | Dresden | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 12 | VfL Osnabruck | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 13 | Karlsruher | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | 8 |
| 14 | Bochum | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:10 | 8 |
| 15 | Hannover | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 16 | Darmstadt | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 17 | Braunschweig | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | 5 |
