Sport Picks
Holstein Kiel vs Magdeburg
Germany
2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Holstein-Stadion, Kiel 
Match Events
5'
5'
Sub
Davidsen K. In: Schwab S.
Out: Davidsen K.
40'
40'
Hugonet J.
Assist: Stalmach D.
45'
45'
Stalmach D.
Assist: Nollenberger A.
AI Match Summary
The 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Holstein Kiel and Magdeburg finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Magdeburg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Magdeburg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Magdeburg carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Magdeburg a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Holstein Kiel Clean Sheet 10%
Magdeburg Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel
2:0
May 9, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel vs Magdeburg
1:3
Dec 13, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel
3:3
Feb 2, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel
1:1
Nov 1, 2023 DFB Pokal
Holstein Kiel vs Magdeburg
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Holstein Kiel Compare
Top Goalscorer Kapralik A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Magdeburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Hugonet J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Stalmach D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Holstein Kiel 10 / 100
Magdeburg 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Holstein Kiel Magdeburg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Magdeburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.20 goals.
Holstein Kiel found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Magdeburg conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Holstein Kiel has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Holstein Kiel VS Magdeburg
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Holstein Kiel
(Home) 19 Sept
Holstein Kiel
1 : 1 VfL Osnabruck
13 Sept
Heidenheim
1 : 0 Holstein Kiel
05 Sept
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2 Nurnberg
30 Aug
Magdeburg
2 : 0 Holstein Kiel
22 Aug
Munich 1860
0 : 2 Holstein Kiel
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Holstein Kiel
1 : 1 VfL Osnabruck
05 Sept
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2 Nurnberg
14 Aug
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2 St. Pauli
15 Jul
Holstein Kiel
4 : 1 Al Ahli SC
10 Jul
Holstein Kiel
2 : 1 Sonderjyske
Page 1 of 3
Magdeburg
(Away) 18 Sept
Greuther Furth
1 : 1 Magdeburg
12 Sept
Magdeburg
3 : 0 Kaiserslautern
06 Sept
Hertha Berlin
2 : 1 Magdeburg
30 Aug
Magdeburg
2 : 0 Holstein Kiel
23 Aug
Bahlinger
0 : 4 Magdeburg
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Greuther Furth
1 : 1 Magdeburg
06 Sept
Hertha Berlin
2 : 1 Magdeburg
23 Aug
Bahlinger
0 : 4 Magdeburg
15 Aug
VfL Osnabruck
0 : 3 Magdeburg
18 Jul
Schoningen
0 : 4 Magdeburg
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schalke | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 50:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 64:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Paderborn | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 59:45 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 60:44 | 60 |
| 5 | Darmstadt | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 57:45 | 52 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 52:47 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 47:44 | 51 |
| 8 | Nurnberg | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:45 | 46 |
| 9 | Bochum | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 53:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Dresden | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54:53 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 44:48 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 53:51 | 39 |
| 14 | Magdeburg | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 52:58 | 39 |
| 15 | Braunschweig | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 16 | Greuther Furth | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 49:68 | 37 |
| 17 | Dusseldorf | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 33:53 | 37 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:61 | 30 |
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
