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Holyhead vs Bangor 1876

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Fri, Aug 21, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Holyhead host Bangor 1876 in the Cymru North. Little to choose between these two on current form. Holyhead have averaged 1.72 scored and 1.62 conceded recently, against Bangor 1876's 1.62 scored and 2.17 conceded. Past meetings favor Bangor 1876 slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 15, 2023, ending 0:4. The numbers (1.46 xG vs 1.14) point toward Holyhead. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Holyhead
15%
Draws
40%
Bangor 1876
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holyhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Bangor 1876 haven't matched Holyhead's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Holyhead a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 20%
Bangor 1876 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holyhead Bangor 1876
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.72 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2023 FA Cup
Holyhead vs Bangor 1876
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holyhead 67 / 100
Bangor 1876 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holyhead Bangor 1876

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangor 1876's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Holyhead scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Holyhead went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holyhead VS Bangor 1876
1.13 Goals Scored 1.4
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.8
50% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 80%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Holyhead

(Home)
08 Aug
Holyhead
1 : 2
Brickfield Rangers
31 Jul
Ruthin Town
1 : 2
Holyhead
23 Jun
Holyhead
2 : 2
Holywell Town FC
18 Apr
Holyhead
5 : 1
Buckley
03 Apr
Flint Mountain
1 : 2
Holyhead
Page 1 of 6

Bangor 1876

(Away)
08 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 2
Bangor 1876
31 Jul
Bangor 1876
1 : 2
Bala
07 Mar
Flint Town
5 : 1
Bangor 1876
31 Jan
Bangor 1876
3 : 1
Caerau Ely
13 Dec
Bangor 1876
2 : 0
Trefelin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newtown 2 2 0 0 8:0 6
2 Brickfield Rangers 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
3 Porthmadog 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
4 Bala 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
5 Guilsfield 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
6 Caersws FC 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
7 Denbigh 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
8 Holyhead 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 Bangor 1876 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10 Llanuwchllyn 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
11 Mold Alexandra 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
12 Rhyl 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 Ruthin Town 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
14 Buckley 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
15 Gresford 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
16 Penrhyncoch 2 0 0 2 1:8 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)