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Holyhead vs Buckley

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Owen C.
(Penalty)
7' Event
Williams C.
24' Event
Buckley C.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Holyhead and Buckley finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holyhead.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Holyhead
15%
Draws
0%
Buckley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holyhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Buckley haven't matched Holyhead's recent run of results.
  • Holyhead are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 20%
Buckley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holyhead Buckley
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Buckley
5:1
Sep 12, 2025 Cymru North
Buckley vs Holyhead
5:5
Jul 18, 2025 League Cup
Holyhead vs Buckley
0:4
Apr 10, 2023 Cymru North
Buckley vs Holyhead
2:2
Aug 20, 2022 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Buckley
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holyhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Williams C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Buckley Compare

Top Goalscorer Bellis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holyhead 85 / 100
Buckley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holyhead Buckley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Buckley conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Buckley lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Holyhead scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Holyhead VS Buckley
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 3.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Holyhead

(Home)
08 Aug
Holyhead
1 : 2
Brickfield Rangers
31 Jul
Ruthin Town
1 : 2
Holyhead
23 Jun
Holyhead
2 : 2
Holywell Town FC
18 Apr
Holyhead
5 : 1
Buckley
03 Apr
Flint Mountain
1 : 2
Holyhead
Page 1 of 6

Buckley

(Away)
08 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 1
Buckley
01 Aug
Buckley
2 : 4
Denbigh
23 Jun
Buckley
0 : 6
Llandudno FC
18 Apr
Holyhead
5 : 1
Buckley
13 Apr
Caersws FC
3 : 2
Buckley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)