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Holyhead vs Buckley

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Owen C.
(Penalty)
7' Event
Williams C.
24' Event
Buckley C.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Holyhead and Buckley finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holyhead.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Holyhead
20%
Draws
73%
Buckley
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Buckley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Buckley haven't matched Holyhead's recent run of results.
  • Buckley are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 10%
Buckley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holyhead Buckley
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.37 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Buckley
5:1
Sep 12, 2025 Cymru North
Buckley vs Holyhead
5:5
Jul 18, 2025 League Cup
Holyhead vs Buckley
0:4
Apr 10, 2023 Cymru North
Buckley vs Holyhead
2:2
Aug 20, 2022 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Buckley
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holyhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Williams C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Buckley Compare

Top Goalscorer Bellis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holyhead 10 / 100
Buckley 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holyhead Buckley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buckley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Buckley conceded in 92% of 36 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Holyhead scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Holyhead went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holyhead VS Buckley
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Holyhead

(Home)
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2
Guilsfield
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 0
Holyhead
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
21 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 3
Bangor 1876
Page 1 of 6

Buckley

(Away)
25 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 6
Buckley
12 Sept
Rhyl
3 : 3
Buckley
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
31 Aug
Caersws FC
2 : 0
Buckley
28 Aug
Buckley
3 : 1
Guilsfield
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)