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Holyhead vs Newtown

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Owen C.
90' Event
Owen T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Holyhead and Newtown finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holyhead.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Holyhead
15%
Draws
40%
Newtown
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holyhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / High Confidence
  • Holyhead haven't matched Newtown's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Holyhead a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Holyhead have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 18%
Newtown Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holyhead Newtown
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Newtown
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Cymru North
Newtown vs Holyhead
1:0
Oct 3, 2009 FA Cup
Holyhead vs Newtown
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holyhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Newtown Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holyhead 49 / 100
Newtown 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holyhead Newtown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holyhead scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Newtown has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Holyhead stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holyhead VS Newtown
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Holyhead

(Home)
08 Aug
Holyhead
1 : 2
Brickfield Rangers
31 Jul
Ruthin Town
1 : 2
Holyhead
23 Jun
Holyhead
2 : 2
Holywell Town FC
18 Apr
Holyhead
5 : 1
Buckley
03 Apr
Flint Mountain
1 : 2
Holyhead
Page 1 of 6

Newtown

(Away)
08 Aug
Newtown
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
02 Aug
Gresford
0 : 3
Newtown
18 Apr
Ruthin Town
2 : 3
Newtown
11 Apr
Newtown
1 : 2
Llandudno FC
08 Apr
Holywell Town FC
6 : 0
Newtown
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)