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Holyhead vs Newtown Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Holyhead Logo

Holyhead

2 - 0
FT
Newtown Logo

Newtown

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Owen C.
90' Event
Owen T.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Holyhead and Newtown finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holyhead.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Holyhead
15%
Draws
78%
Newtown
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newtown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Holyhead haven't matched Newtown's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Newtown a 78% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 10%
Newtown Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holyhead Newtown
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Newtown
0:1
Mar 28, 2026 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Newtown
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Cymru North
Newtown vs Holyhead
1:0
Oct 3, 2009 FAW Welsh Cup
Holyhead vs Newtown
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holyhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Newtown Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holyhead 10 / 100
Newtown 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holyhead Newtown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newtown Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holyhead's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Newtown let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Holyhead went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holyhead VS Newtown
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Holyhead

(Home)
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2
Guilsfield
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 0
Holyhead
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
21 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 3
Bangor 1876
Page 1 of 7

Newtown

(Away)
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1
Porthmadog
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1
Newtown
28 Aug
Newtown
4 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)