Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-2, with Holyhead advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
20%
16%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Holyhead
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Holyhead come out ahead of Pwllheli on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Holyhead's way, sitting at 90%.
- Holyhead have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Holyhead, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 19%
Pwllheli Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Holyhead | Pwllheli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 15 |
| Wins | 15 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 2.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 9, 2012 FA Cup
Holyhead vs Pwllheli
5:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Holyhead 85 / 100
Pwllheli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Holyhead Pwllheli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Holyhead Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pwllheli has conceded goals in 80% of their last 15 outings.
Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.
Holyhead's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Difficult form: Pwllheli registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Holyhead VS Pwllheli
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Holyhead
(Home) 21 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 3 Bangor 1876
15 Aug
Mold Alexandra
1 : 0 Holyhead
08 Aug
Holyhead
1 : 2 Brickfield Rangers
31 Jul
Ruthin Town
1 : 2 Holyhead
23 Jun
Holyhead
2 : 2 Holywell Town FC
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21 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 3 Bangor 1876
08 Aug
Holyhead
1 : 2 Brickfield Rangers
23 Jun
Holyhead
2 : 2 Holywell Town FC
18 Apr
Holyhead
5 : 1 Buckley
28 Mar
Holyhead
2 : 0 Newtown
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Pwllheli
(Away) 11 Jul
Pwllheli
0 : 2 Llandudno FC
20 Sept
Pwllheli
1 : 3 Rhyl
22 Jun
Pwllheli
1 : 1 Bala
16 Sept
Pwllheli
1 : 2 Felinheli
20 Oct
Pwllheli
0 : 3 Porthmadog
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12 Oct
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
3 : 0 Pwllheli
09 Nov
Holyhead
5 : 2 Pwllheli
06 Oct
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 5 Pwllheli
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
2 : 0 Pwllheli
04 Oct
Llandudno Junction
0 : 2 Pwllheli
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tata Steel 7
Bridgend Street 4
Pontypridd United 0
Aberdare Town 1
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brymbo 2
Penycae FC 1
Llanberis FC 1
Cefn Druids 7
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Haverfordwest 5
Brecon Corinthians 2
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Cambrian United 1
Montgomery 5
Venture Community 2
Mold Alexandra 1
Llandudno Junction 4
Gwalchmai 4
Carno FC 1
Ruthin Town 1
Corwen 2
Grange Harlequins 4
Llanwern FC 3
Ammanford Town 1
Chepstow Town 2
Rhyl 7
Bodedern 0
Rhydymwyn 1
Waterloo Rovers 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Conwy Borough 1
Caernarfon 0
Llanuwchllyn 3
Buckley 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Barry Town 5
Caerleon 2
Presteigne St. Andrews 0
Penrhyncoch 2
Aberbargoed Buds 2
Trefores 1
Bryntirion Athletic 1
Ely Rangers 3
Goytre AFC 3
Llwydcoed 0
Caerau FC 8
Llantwit Fardre 0
Ton Pentre 3
Dinas Powys 1
Bridgend Town 0
Pontardawe 1
Caerau Ely 7
Croesyceiliog FC 3
Pontyclun FC 0
Goytre Utd 6
Llandudno FC 3
Porthmadog 2
Denbigh 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Llanidloes Town 6
Halkyn United 1
Coedpoeth 1
Caersws FC 2
Greenfield 4
Llanllyfni FC 0
Guilsfield 2
Flint Town 3
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pwllheli 5
Brickfield Rangers 2
Llansantffraid Village 2
Holyhead 6
Monmouth 1
AFC Porth 0
Cwmamman United 1
Newbridge 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
West End 4
Taffs Well 0
Risca United 0
Rhayader 2
Llanrhaeadr 2
Glan Conwy FC 1
Four Crosses 1
Llanrug 2
Afan Lido -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prestatyn -
1/32-finals
Bangor City -
TBD -
Tata Steel 1
Aberdare Town 2
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Newtown -
TBD -
Brymbo 1
Cefn Druids 3
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Haverfordwest 1
Cambrian United 0
Montgomery 1
Llandudno Junction 3
Gwalchmai 2
Corwen 1
Grange Harlequins 1
Chepstow Town 4
Rhyl 5
Waterloo Rovers 0
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Conwy Borough 2
Buckley 1
TBD -
TNS -
Barry Town 2
Penrhyncoch 1
Aberbargoed Buds 1
Ely Rangers 6
Goytre AFC 3
Caerau FC 1
Ton Pentre 0
Pontardawe 2
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre Utd 2
Llandudno FC 3
Holywell Town FC 5
Llanidloes Town 3
Caersws FC 2
Greenfield 0
Flint Town 3
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Pwllheli 2
Holyhead 5
Monmouth 5
Newbridge 1
TBD -
Bala -
West End 2
Rhayader 0
Llanrhaeadr 2
Llanrug 3
Afan Lido -
TBD -
TBD -
Prestatyn -
1/16-finals
Bangor City 4
Aberdare Town 1
Llanelli 2
Connahs Q. 4
Newtown 2
Cefn Druids 0
Port Talbot 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Haverfordwest 3
Llandudno Junction 2
Gwalchmai 0
Chepstow Town 2
Rhyl 5
Aberystwyth 2
Conwy Borough 1
TNS 3
Barry Town 3
Ely Rangers 1
Goytre AFC 0
Pontardawe 2
Caerau Ely 2
Holywell Town FC 0
Llanidloes Town 0
Flint Town 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Holyhead 1
Monmouth 2
Bala 3
West End 5
Llanrug 0
Afan Lido 3
Prestatyn 4
1/8-finals
Bangor City 2
Connahs Q. 0
Newtown 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Haverfordwest 4
Chepstow Town 3
Rhyl 1
TNS 5
Barry Town 2
Pontardawe 1
Caerau Ely 1
Flint Town 3
Carmarthen Town 3
Bala 2
West End 0
Prestatyn 2
Quarter-finals
Bangor City 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Haverfordwest 0
TNS 1
Barry Town 2
Flint Town 0
Carmarthen Town 2
Prestatyn 3
Semi-finals
Bangor City 1
TNS 0
Barry Town 1
Prestatyn 2
Final
Bangor City 1
Prestatyn 3
