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Holywell Town FC vs Bangor 1876

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Reed J.
75' Event
Murtas F.
82' Event
Breese J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Holywell Town FC and Bangor 1876 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holywell Town FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Holywell Town FC
28%
Draws
50%
Bangor 1876
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Bangor 1876

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Holywell Town FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bangor 1876 a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 12%
Bangor 1876 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holywell Town FC Bangor 1876
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 17 10
Draws 9 3
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 2.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 FA Cup
Bangor 1876 vs Holywell Town FC
2:1
Jun 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Holywell Town FC vs Bangor 1876
2:1
Nov 22, 2024 Cymru North
Bangor 1876 vs Holywell Town FC
2:2
Sep 7, 2024 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Bangor 1876
2:1
Jan 20, 2024 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Bangor 1876
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holywell Town FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Murtas F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Breese J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Bangor 1876 Compare

Top Goalscorer Reed J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holywell Town FC 22 / 100
Bangor 1876 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holywell Town FC Bangor 1876

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Holywell Town FC scored in 88% of their last 34 outings.

Bangor 1876 has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Holywell Town FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holywell Town FC VS Bangor 1876
2.75 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 67%