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Holzheim vs Homberg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2025/2026
Holzheim Logo

Holzheim

0 - 3
FT
Homberg Logo

Homberg

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niederrhein 2025/2026 game between Holzheim and Homberg finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Homberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Holzheim
20%
Draws
64%
Homberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Homberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Homberg's 1.52 goals per match outpaces what Holzheim have produced (1.43).
  • Model gives Homberg a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Holzheim Clean Sheet 10%
Homberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holzheim Homberg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.43 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
Holzheim vs Homberg
0:3
Oct 19, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
Homberg vs Holzheim
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holzheim 18 / 100
Homberg 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holzheim Homberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Homberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Holzheim scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Homberg has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Homberg has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Holzheim VS Homberg
1.25 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Holzheim

(Home)
11 Sept
Holzheim
3 : 3
Germania Ratingen
06 Sept
FC Monheim
5 : 0
Holzheim
27 Aug
Holzheim
2 : 4
Juchen-Garzweiler
23 Aug
Solingen-Wald
2 : 1
Holzheim
15 Aug
Holzheim
1 : 5
Uerdingen
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Homberg

(Away)
19 Jul
Homberg
3 : 3
Dusseldorf II
07 Jun
Homberg
1 : 2
Kleve
30 May
Schonnebeck
4 : 0
Homberg
17 May
Homberg
5 : 1
Dingden
08 May
Germania Ratingen
3 : 1
Homberg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hilden 34 22 3 9 90:48 69
2 Germania Ratingen 34 19 10 5 86:48 67
3 Uerdingen 34 19 6 9 58:43 63
4 Schonnebeck 34 17 10 7 81:47 61
5 SC St.Tonis 34 16 7 11 80:55 55
6 Meerbusch 34 15 5 14 49:60 50
7 Dingden 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
8 Juchen-Garzweiler 34 11 11 12 47:42 44
9 Baumberg 34 12 8 14 58:66 44
10 SW Essen 34 13 5 16 53:62 44
11 FC Monheim 34 12 7 15 48:56 43
12 Sonsbeck 34 12 6 16 47:59 42
13 Buderich 34 12 6 16 62:77 42
14 Frintrop 34 12 5 17 57:57 41
15 Holzheim 34 10 11 13 49:62 41
16 Kleve 34 11 8 15 43:62 41
17 Homberg 34 10 6 18 51:61 36
18 SV Biemenhorst 34 8 3 23 55:106 27
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)