Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Homberg vs Hamborn

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
57' Event
Ota S.
60' Event
Bode J.

AI Match Summary

Homberg in this Oberliga Niederrhein 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Homberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Homberg
15%
Draws
51%
Hamborn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamborn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Homberg have won more games recently than Hamborn.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Oberliga Niederrhein 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Homberg Clean Sheet 20%
Hamborn Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Homberg Hamborn
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 11
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.71 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.74 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
Homberg vs Hamborn
2:0
Aug 20, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Hamborn vs Homberg
0:0
Jan 29, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Hamborn vs Homberg
2:2
Aug 7, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
Homberg vs Hamborn
0:0
Jul 31, 2021 Club Friendly
Homberg vs Hamborn
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Homberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Ota S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bode J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Hamborn Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Homberg 32 / 100
Hamborn 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Homberg Hamborn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamborn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hamborn conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Homberg scored in 76% of their last 34 outings.

Difficult form: Hamborn registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Homberg VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Homberg

(Home)
19 Jul
Homberg
3 : 3
Dusseldorf II
07 Jun
Homberg
1 : 2
Kleve
30 May
Schonnebeck
4 : 0
Homberg
17 May
Homberg
5 : 1
Dingden
08 May
Germania Ratingen
3 : 1
Homberg
Page 1 of 7

Hamborn

(Away)
04 Aug
Hamborn
7 : 0
SC St.Tonis
02 Jun
Schonnebeck
4 : 1
Hamborn
26 May
Hamborn
3 : 1
Germania Ratingen
12 May
Mulheimer FC 97
4 : 3
Hamborn
08 May
Frintrop
4 : 0
Hamborn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baumberg 32 21 4 7 74:33 67
2 Schonnebeck 32 18 6 8 71:46 60
3 Uerdingen 32 18 4 10 56:40 58
4 SW Essen 32 16 5 11 60:44 53
5 Homberg 32 16 4 12 52:42 52
6 Hilden 32 15 7 10 57:49 52
7 Germania Ratingen 32 15 6 11 55:48 51
8 Sonsbeck 32 13 5 14 50:48 44
9 Buderich 32 13 3 16 52:51 42
10 SC St.Tonis 32 12 5 15 56:59 41
11 Union Nettetal 32 11 7 14 47:62 40
12 Mulheimer FC 97 32 10 6 16 51:61 36
13 Kleve 32 9 8 15 33:56 35
14 Meerbusch 32 9 7 16 52:62 34
15 TVD Velbert 32 7 13 12 50:65 34
16 Frintrop 32 8 9 15 42:59 33
17 Hamborn 32 6 11 15 36:69 29
18 Straelen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2024/2025 (Main)