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Home Farm vs Lucan Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

National League
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Home Farm host Lucan Utd in the National League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Home Farm at 1.38 goals for, 1.45 against; Lucan Utd at 1.65 for, 1.95 against. Head-to-head, Home Farm have won 0 to Lucan Utd's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 2.46 vs 1.29, favoring Lucan Utd. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Home Farm
35%
Draws
27%
Lucan Utd
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Home Farm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Home Farm have managed 1.38 goals a game lately — Lucan Utd are scoring more at 1.65.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Home Farm taking it.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 66%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Home Farm Clean Sheet 19%
Lucan Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Home Farm Lucan Utd
Matches Played 29 20
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 2
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.95
Expected Goals (xG) 2.46 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 National League
Lucan Utd vs Home Farm
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Home Farm 85 / 100
Lucan Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Home Farm Lucan Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Home Farm Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Home Farm stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Home Farm scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Lucan Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 20 matches.

Scoring Trends

Home Farm VS Lucan Utd
2.43 Goals Scored 1.88
0.71 Goals Conceded 2.5
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 88%
57% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Home Farm

(Home)
03 Oct
Lucan Utd
2 : 2
Home Farm
26 Sept
Home Farm
4 : 0
Cockhill
12 Sept
Mervue United
1 : 6
Home Farm
05 Sept
Cockhill
0 : 2
Home Farm
29 Aug
Bonagee
2 : 2
Home Farm
Page 1 of 6

Lucan Utd

(Away)
03 Oct
Lucan Utd
2 : 2
Home Farm
26 Sept
Mervue United
0 : 0
Lucan Utd
19 Sept
Lucan Utd
2 : 0
Cockhill
12 Sept
Bonagee
0 : 1
Lucan Utd
05 Sept
Lucan Utd
1 : 2
Mervue United
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Home Farm 5 3 2 0 16:5 11
2 Mervue United 6 3 2 1 12:10 11
3 Lucan Utd 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
4 Bonagee 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
5 Cockhill 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salthill 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
2 Letterkenny Rovers 5 2 1 2 12:10 7
3 TU Dublin 5 1 3 1 10:12 6
4 Mayo FC 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
5 St Francis 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villa FC 5 4 1 0 20:6 13
2 CK United FC 6 3 2 1 12:12 11
3 University College Cork 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
4 Killarney Celtic 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
5 Newbridge Town 5 0 1 4 5:17 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams