Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Homs Al Fidaa vs Al Shorta

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Mardikian M.
17' Event
Carno B.
Own Goal
51' Event
Mardikian M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Homs Al Fidaa and Al Shorta finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Homs Al Fidaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Homs Al Fidaa
6%
Draws
4%
Al Shorta
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Homs Al Fidaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Homs Al Fidaa come out ahead of Al Shorta on wins alone.
  • Homs Al Fidaa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Homs Al Fidaa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Homs Al Fidaa Clean Sheet 20%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Homs Al Fidaa Al Shorta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Premier League
Homs Al Fidaa vs Al Shorta
5:1
Jan 17, 2026 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Homs Al Fidaa
1:2
Jul 2, 2025 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Homs Al Fidaa
1:2
Apr 22, 2022 Premier League
Homs Al Fidaa vs Al Shorta
1:1
Dec 21, 2021 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Homs Al Fidaa
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Homs Al Fidaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Mardikian M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Al Rifai W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Al Shorta Compare

Top Goalscorer Idribi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Homs Al Fidaa 85 / 100
Al Shorta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Homs Al Fidaa Al Shorta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Homs Al Fidaa scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Homs Al Fidaa has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Shorta has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Homs Al Fidaa VS Al Shorta
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad Aleppo30227183:2573
2Homs Al Fidaa30226255:1272
3Al Wahda30195653:2462
4Al Karamah30177655:3058
5Al Taliya301211732:2447
6Hottin301361133:3745
7Tishreen301111842:3444
8Al Jaish301011923:3041
9Damascus Al-Ahli301161337:4439
10Horriya301051530:3435
11Al Shorta30891329:4733
12Foutoua30931836:5330
13Umayya30591627:4424
14Khan Shaykhun30651926:5323
15Jableh30642027:6022
16Al-Shouleh30452114:5117