Sport Picks

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Homs Al Fidaa vs Foutoua

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sandy S.
22' Event
Sandy S.
32' Event
Mardikian M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Homs Al Fidaa and Foutoua finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Homs Al Fidaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Homs Al Fidaa
6%
Draws
4%
Foutoua
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Homs Al Fidaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Homs Al Fidaa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Homs Al Fidaa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Homs Al Fidaa Clean Sheet 20%
Foutoua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Homs Al Fidaa Foutoua
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 2 18
Goals Scored 1.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Premier League
Homs Al Fidaa vs Foutoua
4:0
Mar 10, 2026 Premier League
Foutoua vs Homs Al Fidaa
0:3
May 30, 2025 Premier League
Foutoua vs Homs Al Fidaa
2:1
Apr 5, 2024 Premier League
Homs Al Fidaa vs Foutoua
0:0
Dec 6, 2023 Premier League
Foutoua vs Homs Al Fidaa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Homs Al Fidaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandy S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mardikian M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Foutoua Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Homs Al Fidaa 85 / 100
Foutoua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Homs Al Fidaa Foutoua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Homs Al Fidaa found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Foutoua conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Homs Al Fidaa remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Homs Al Fidaa VS Foutoua
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Homs Al Fidaa

(Home)
03 Jul
Khan Shaykhun
0 : 1
Homs Al Fidaa
28 Jun
Al Jaish
0 : 3
Homs Al Fidaa
24 Jun
Homs Al Fidaa
4 : 0
Foutoua
19 Jun
Jableh
0 : 1
Homs Al Fidaa
14 Jun
Homs Al Fidaa
2 : 0
Hottin
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Foutoua

(Away)
04 Jul
Damascus Al-Ahli
3 : 2
Foutoua
28 Jun
Foutoua
4 : 3
Khan Shaykhun
24 Jun
Homs Al Fidaa
4 : 0
Foutoua
19 Jun
Al Jaish
1 : 0
Foutoua
12 Jun
Foutoua
2 : 4
Al Karamah
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad Aleppo30227183:2573
2Homs Al Fidaa30226255:1272
3Al Wahda30195653:2462
4Al Karamah30177655:3058
5Al Taliya301211732:2447
6Hottin301361133:3745
7Tishreen301111842:3444
8Al Jaish301011923:3041
9Damascus Al-Ahli301161337:4439
10Horriya301051530:3435
11Al Shorta30891329:4733
12Foutoua30931836:5330
13Umayya30591627:4424
14Khan Shaykhun30651926:5323
15Jableh30642027:6022
16Al-Shouleh30452114:5117
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