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Homs Al Fidaa vs Nejmeh SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Challenge League Hisor Central Stadium, Hisor
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Homs Al Fidaa host Nejmeh SC in the AFC Challenge League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Homs Al Fidaa at 1.93 goals for, 0.46 against; Nejmeh SC at 1.82 for, 0.75 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.91 xG vs 1.02) point toward Homs Al Fidaa. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Homs Al Fidaa
20%
Draws
35%
Nejmeh SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Homs Al Fidaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Nejmeh SC haven't matched Homs Al Fidaa's recent run of results.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Homs Al Fidaa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Homs Al Fidaa Clean Sheet 20%
Nejmeh SC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Homs Al Fidaa Nejmeh SC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 20 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 2 4
Goals Scored 1.93 1.82
Goals Conceded 0.46 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.91 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Homs Al Fidaa 49 / 100
Nejmeh SC 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Homs Al Fidaa Nejmeh SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Homs Al Fidaa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Homs Al Fidaa scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Homs Al Fidaa went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Nejmeh SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.

Away concern: Nejmeh SC has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Homs Al Fidaa VS Nejmeh SC
1.57 Goals Scored 1.75
0.29 Goals Conceded 0.25
57% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Homs Al Fidaa

(Home)
09 Oct
Homs Al Fidaa
1 : 1
Hottin
11 Aug
Dordoi Bishkek
1 : 2
Homs Al Fidaa
03 Jul
Khan Shaykhun
0 : 1
Homs Al Fidaa
28 Jun
Al Jaish
0 : 3
Homs Al Fidaa
24 Jun
Homs Al Fidaa
4 : 0
Foutoua
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Nejmeh SC

(Away)
12 Oct
Nejmeh SC
3 : 3
Tadamon
08 Oct
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad Aleppo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Al Ansar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Ahal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Paro 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Arabi (Kuwait) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Istiqlol Dushanbe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Nejmeh SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Homs Al Fidaa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadisiya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Regar-TadAZ 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 FC Goa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Fortis 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yangon United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Borneo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Taiwan Steel 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Taguig 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Kasuka 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Hang Yuen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Manila Digger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)