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Honduras U17 W vs Nicaragua U17 W

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women U17 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Honduras U17 W play Nicaragua U17 W in the CONCACAF Championship Women U17 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Honduras U17 W averaged 2.79 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. Nicaragua U17 W averaged 2.43 goals scored and 2.43 conceded. In past meetings, Honduras U17 W won 0, Nicaragua U17 W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 25, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.69 for Honduras U17 W and 2.56 for Nicaragua U17 W. This points to a Honduras U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Honduras U17 W
15%
Draws
30%
Nicaragua U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Honduras U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Honduras U17 W picked up more points recently compared to Nicaragua U17 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.69 vs 2.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Honduras U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Nicaragua U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Honduras U17 W Nicaragua U17 W
Matches Played 14 21
Wins 8 7
Draws 2 1
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.79 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.36 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2023 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Honduras U17 W vs Nicaragua U17 W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Honduras U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mencia D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Nicaragua U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Navarrete V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.41
Avg xA / game 2.08

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Honduras U17 W 52 / 100
Nicaragua U17 W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Honduras U17 W Nicaragua U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Honduras U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Honduras U17 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Honduras U17 W attacking → ← attacking Nicaragua U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Honduras U17 W scored in 86% of their last 14 games.

Nicaragua U17 W let in goals in 71% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Honduras U17 W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Nicaragua U17 W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 22
3.63 Goals expected (xG) 3.75
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1El Salvador U17 W330025:09
2Trinidad & Tobago U17 W32019:66
3Cayman Islands U17 W31021:163
4Curacao U17 W30030:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Haiti U17 W220018:06
2Cuba U17 W21016:63
3Barbados U17 W20020:180
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Costa Rica U17 W22007:16
2Guatemala U17 W20021:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Puerto Rico U17 W330013:29
2Nicaragua U17 W311112:34
3Honduras U17 W31117:34
4United States Virgin Islands U17 W30030:240
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Panama U17 W21102:14
2Jamaica U17 W20111:21
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Canada U17 W220030:06
2Bermuda U17 W21014:103
3Dominica U17 W20021:250