Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Honduras U23 vs Canada U23

World World

Olympic Games 2020 Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Cornelius D.
Assist: Metcalfe P.
30' Event
Maldonado D.
Assist: Rodriguez E.
61'
Sub
Bair T. In: Brym C.
Out: Bair T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Olympic Games 2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Honduras U23
20%
Draws
58%
Canada U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Canada U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Honduras U23 have won more games recently than Canada U23.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Canada U23 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Honduras U23 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Honduras U23 Clean Sheet 19%
Canada U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Honduras U23 Canada U23
Matches Played 32 14
Wins 14 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.59 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2021 Olympic Games
Honduras U23 vs Canada U23
1:1
Aug 3, 1999 Pan American Games
Honduras U23 vs Canada U23
2:0
Aug 5, 1991 Pan American Games
Honduras U23 vs Canada U23
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Honduras U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Maldonado D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Canada U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cornelius D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Honduras U23 20 / 100
Canada U23 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Honduras U23 Canada U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canada U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Honduras U23's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Canada U23 let in goals in 64% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Solid form: Honduras U23 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Honduras U23 VS Canada U23
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Honduras U23

(Home)
01 Nov
Dominican Republic U23
1 : 3
Honduras U23
29 Oct
Brazil U23
3 : 0
Honduras U23
26 Oct
USA U23
2 : 1
Honduras U23
23 Oct
Colombia U23
2 : 0
Honduras U23
12 Jul
Japan U23
3 : 1
Honduras U23
Page 1 of 7

Canada U23

(Away)
29 Mar
Mexico U23
2 : 0
Canada U23
26 Mar
Honduras U23
1 : 1
Canada U23
22 Mar
Haiti U23
0 : 0
Canada U23
19 Mar
Canada U23
2 : 0
El Salvador U23
16 Mar
Trinidad & Tobago U23
0 : 1
Canada U23
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U23 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 USA U23 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Costa Rica U23 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 Dominican Republic U23 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - Olympic Games 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras U23 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
2 Canada U23 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
3 El Salvador U23 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Haiti U23 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Olympic Games 2020 (Play Offs)