Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Honduras vs Haiti

World World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles, Tegucigalpa
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Rivas R.
Assist: Arriaga K.
26' Event
Lozano C.
Assist: Palma L.
39' Event
Quioto R.

AI Match Summary

Honduras in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Honduras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Honduras
20%
Draws
30%
Haiti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Honduras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Haiti at 2.2 per game, Honduras at 1.53.
  • Honduras are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Honduras Clean Sheet 68%
Haiti Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Honduras Haiti
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.53 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 World Championship
Honduras vs Haiti
3:0
Sep 6, 2025 World Championship
Haiti vs Honduras
0:0
Jul 3, 2023 Gold Cup
Honduras vs Haiti
2:1
Jul 13, 2015 Gold Cup
Haiti vs Honduras
1:0
Jul 9, 2013 Gold Cup
Haiti vs Honduras
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Honduras Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lozano C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Haiti Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Honduras 50 / 100
Haiti 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Honduras Haiti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Honduras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Honduras found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Haiti let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Honduras remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Honduras VS Haiti
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Honduras

(Home)
07 Jun
Argentina
2 : 0
Honduras
31 Mar
Peru
2 : 2
Honduras
19 Nov
Costa Rica
0 : 0
Honduras
14 Nov
Nicaragua
2 : 0
Honduras
14 Oct
Honduras
3 : 0
Haiti
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Haiti

(Away)
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2
Haiti
20 Jun
Brazil
3 : 0
Haiti
14 Jun
Haiti
0 : 1
Scotland
06 Jun
Haiti
1 : 2
Peru
03 Jun
Haiti
4 : 0
New Zealand
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
2 Suriname 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
3 Guatemala 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
4 El Salvador 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 6 3 3 0 13:3 12
2 Jamaica 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
3 Trinidad & Tobago 6 1 4 1 7:6 7
4 Bermuda 6 0 1 5 4:23 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
2 Honduras 6 2 3 1 5:2 9
3 Costa Rica 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
4 Nicaragua 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)