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Stadium Background

Honefoss vs Tromsdalen (TUIL) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 2 Hønefoss Stadion, Hønefoss
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Selnes I. K.
45'
Jacobsen O. H.
45'

AI Match Summary

Honefoss in this Division 2 - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Honefoss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Honefoss
15%
Draws
48%
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tromsdalen (TUIL)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Honefoss lately — more wins on the board than Tromsdalen (TUIL).
  • Tromsdalen (TUIL) are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Honefoss Clean Sheet 10%
Tromsdalen (TUIL) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Honefoss Tromsdalen (TUIL)
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 4 2
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.52 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Division 2 - Group 2
Honefoss vs Tromsdalen (TUIL)
2:1
May 10, 2026 Division 2 - Group 2
Tromsdalen (TUIL) vs Honefoss
0:3
Sep 7, 2025 Division 2 - Group 2
Tromsdalen (TUIL) vs Honefoss
5:1
Apr 27, 2025 Division 2 - Group 2
Honefoss vs Tromsdalen (TUIL)
2:3
Oct 5, 2014 OBOS-ligaen
Tromsdalen (TUIL) vs Honefoss
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Honefoss Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedersen B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Randers A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Tromsdalen (TUIL) Compare

Top Goalscorer Hafstad D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Honefoss 14 / 100
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Honefoss Tromsdalen (TUIL)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tromsdalen (TUIL) Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Honefoss's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tromsdalen (TUIL) conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Honefoss has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Honefoss VS Tromsdalen (TUIL)
1.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Honefoss

(Home)
03 Oct
Skeid
4 : 3
Honefoss
30 Sept
Honefoss
0 : 2
KFUM Oslo
27 Sept
Honefoss
2 : 1
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
19 Sept
Rana FK
0 : 1
Honefoss
12 Sept
Honefoss
1 : 1
Grorud
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Tromsdalen (TUIL)

(Away)
04 Oct
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
4 : 2
Levanger
27 Sept
Honefoss
2 : 1
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
20 Sept
Skeid
0 : 6
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
16 Sept
Grorud
2 : 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
13 Sept
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
3 : 1
Trygg/Lade
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eidsvold TF 22 16 3 3 53:19 51
2 Kjelsas 22 15 2 5 51:32 47
3 Levanger 22 15 0 7 53:27 45
4 Honefoss 22 14 3 5 56:33 45
5 Grorud 22 13 4 5 40:20 43
6 Stjordals Blink 22 10 3 9 38:38 33
7 Lorenskog 22 10 3 9 33:37 33
8 Tromsdalen (TUIL) 22 10 2 10 39:38 32
9 Junkeren 22 9 4 9 31:36 31
10 Rana FK 22 9 3 10 38:39 30
11 Skeid 22 6 2 14 32:50 20
12 Follo 22 3 5 14 25:46 14
13 Ull/Kisa 22 3 1 18 26:72 10
14 Trygg/Lade 22 2 3 17 25:53 9
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