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Hong Kong FC vs Lee Man Warriors

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League Hong Kong Football Club Stadium, Hongkong
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Montesinos L.
8' Event
Poon Pui-Hin
23'
Yung H. T.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Hong Kong FC and Lee Man Warriors finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lee Man Warriors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Hong Kong FC
6%
Draws
90%
Lee Man Warriors
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lee Man Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lee Man Warriors carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lee Man Warriors a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lee Man Warriors here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Hong Kong FC Clean Sheet 10%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hong Kong FC Lee Man Warriors
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 18
Draws 2 6
Losses 25 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 3 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Premier League
Hong Kong FC vs Lee Man Warriors
0:4
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Hong Kong FC
7:1
May 4, 2025 Premier League
Hong Kong FC vs Lee Man Warriors
0:4
Feb 22, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Hong Kong FC
3:0
Sep 22, 2024 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Hong Kong FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hong Kong FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lee Man Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikael
2 Goals
Assists Leader Poon Pui-Hin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hong Kong FC 10 / 100
Lee Man Warriors 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hong Kong FC Lee Man Warriors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Lee Man Warriors has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Hong Kong FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Hong Kong FC scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hong Kong FC VS Lee Man Warriors
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hong Kong FC

(Home)
16 May
Kowloon City
1 : 1
Hong Kong FC
10 May
Hong Kong FC
2 : 1
Hong Kong Rangers
03 May
Hong Kong FC
1 : 4
Southern District
25 Apr
Eastern District
1 : 2
Hong Kong FC
11 Apr
Eastern AA
5 : 0
Hong Kong FC
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Lee Man Warriors

(Away)
17 May
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 3
Tai Po
10 May
North District
2 : 4
Lee Man Warriors
26 Apr
Lee Man Warriors
0 : 1
Eastern AA
18 Apr
Kitchee
1 : 4
Lee Man Warriors
12 Apr
North District
3 : 3
Lee Man Warriors
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kitchee18162047:1550
2Lee Man Warriors18106247:1936
3North District1887336:2731
4Tai Po1894536:2631
5Eastern AA1874729:2825
6Kowloon City1863922:3321
7Eastern District1854915:1519
8Southern District18531018:2818
9Hong Kong Rangers18521120:3817
10Hong Kong FC18111612:534
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation Group)