Sport Picks
Hong Kong Rangers vs Lee Man Warriors
Hong Kong
FA Cup Tuen Mun tang Shiu Kin Sports Ground, Hongkong 
Match Events
22'
22'
Lau Y. A.
24'
24'
Gigauri M.
27'
27'
Lau Y. A.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Hong Kong Rangers in this FA Cup tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
17%
70%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Lee Man Warriors
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lee Man Warriors lately — more wins on the board than Hong Kong Rangers.
- Win probability leans Lee Man Warriors's way, sitting at 70%.
- Lee Man Warriors arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Hong Kong Rangers, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Hong Kong Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hong Kong Rangers | Lee Man Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 18 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 FA Cup
Hong Kong Rangers vs Lee Man Warriors
4:3
Mar 4, 2026 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Hong Kong Rangers
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 Premier League
Hong Kong Rangers vs Lee Man Warriors
1:2
May 25, 2025 Premier League
Hong Kong Rangers vs Lee Man Warriors
3:0
Mar 1, 2025 FA Cup
Lee Man Warriors vs Hong Kong Rangers
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hong Kong Rangers Compare
Top Goalscorer Cortes M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cheng Tsz-Sum
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Lee Man Warriors Compare
Top Goalscorer Gigauri M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mikael
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hong Kong Rangers 14 / 100
Lee Man Warriors 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hong Kong Rangers Lee Man Warriors
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LEE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Hong Kong Rangers's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Defensive concern: Lee Man Warriors conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.
Recent resilience: Hong Kong Rangers stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hong Kong Rangers VS Lee Man Warriors
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Hong Kong Rangers
(Home) 23 May
Tai Po
2 : 0 Hong Kong Rangers
16 May
Eastern District
1 : 1 Hong Kong Rangers
10 May
Hong Kong FC
2 : 1 Hong Kong Rangers
03 May
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 2 Kowloon City
19 Apr
Hong Kong Rangers
3 : 1 Southern District
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03 May
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 2 Kowloon City
19 Apr
Hong Kong Rangers
3 : 1 Southern District
22 Mar
Hong Kong Rangers
0 : 2 Tai Po
08 Mar
Hong Kong Rangers
4 : 3 Lee Man Warriors
15 Feb
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 0 Southern District
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Lee Man Warriors
(Away) 17 May
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 3 Tai Po
10 May
North District
2 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
26 Apr
Lee Man Warriors
0 : 1 Eastern AA
18 Apr
Kitchee
1 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
12 Apr
North District
3 : 3 Lee Man Warriors
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10 May
North District
2 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
18 Apr
Kitchee
1 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
12 Apr
North District
3 : 3 Lee Man Warriors
07 Apr
Kitchee
1 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
03 Apr
Eastern District
0 : 0 Lee Man Warriors
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Tai Po-
TBD-
TBD-
Kitchee-
Hong Kong Rangers-
TBD-
Lee Man Warriors3
Kowloon City0
Eastern AA-
TBD-
TBD-
Eastern District-
Hong Kong FC-
TBD-
Southern District1
North District3
Quarter-finals
Tai Po2
Kitchee1
Hong Kong Rangers4
Lee Man Warriors3
Eastern AA0
Eastern District1
Hong Kong FC1
North District3
Semi-finals
Tai Po2
Hong Kong Rangers0
Eastern District3
North District2
Final
Tai Po2
Eastern District1