Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hong Kong U19 vs Northern Mariana Islands U19

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U19 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hong Kong U19 host Northern Mariana Islands U19 in the AFC Championship U19 2018. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Northern Mariana Islands U19 have shipped 5.25 goals a game lately, while Hong Kong U19 have conceded 1.75 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Hong Kong U19 slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 8, 2017, ending 0:0. The numbers (3.19 xG vs 1.06) point toward Hong Kong U19. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Hong Kong U19
6%
Draws
4%
Northern Mariana Islands U19
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hong Kong U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Northern Mariana Islands U19 haven't matched Hong Kong U19's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hong Kong U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Hong Kong U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Northern Mariana Islands U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hong Kong U19 Northern Mariana Islands U19
Matches Played 12 8
Wins 3 0
Draws 2 0
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.13 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 5.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 5.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2017 AFC Championship U19
Hong Kong U19 vs Northern Mariana Islands U19
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hong Kong U19 85 / 100
Northern Mariana Islands U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hong Kong U19 Northern Mariana Islands U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northern Mariana Islands U19 has conceded goals in 100% of their last 8 outings.

Northern Mariana Islands U19 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Hong Kong U19's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Hong Kong U19 VS Northern Mariana Islands U19
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 5.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hong Kong U19

(Home)
10 Nov
Hong Kong U19
2 : 1
Timor-Leste U19
08 Nov
Hong Kong U19
0 : 4
Indonesia U19
06 Nov
North Korea U19
1 : 1
Hong Kong U19
06 Nov
North Korea U19
5 : 1
Hong Kong U19
04 Nov
Hong Kong U19
0 : 3
Australia U19
Page 1 of 3

Northern Mariana Islands U19

(Away)
08 Nov
Malaysia U19
10 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands U19
06 Nov
Thailand U19
21 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands U19
04 Nov
Northern Mariana Islands U19
0 : 9
Cambodia U19
02 Nov
Northern Mariana Islands U19
3 : 4
Brunei U19
04 Oct
South Korea U19
11 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands U19
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1United Arab Emirates U19430110:39
2Oman U19421110:67
3Bahrain U1942117:37
4Kyrgyzstan U1942025:86
5Nepal U1940040:120
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tajikistan U19431012:010
2Uzbekistan U19430117:19
3Bangladesh U1942115:17
4Maldives U1940132:141
5Sri Lanka U1940132:221
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Qatar U1921103:14
2Iraq U1921103:14
3Lebanon U1920020:40
4Afghanistan U1900000:00
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saudi Arabia U1933008:19
2Yemen U1931114:24
3India U1931113:54
4Turkmenistan U1930030:70
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jordan U1932104:17
2Iran U1931205:15
3Syria U1931115:54
4Palestine U1930032:90
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Korea U19440022:012
2Malaysia U1943018:59
3Indonesia U19420211:86
4Timor-Leste U1940133:141
5Brunei U1940132:191
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1China U1933008:09
2Cambodia U1931113:34
3Myanmar U1931028:43
4Philippines U1930120:121
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vietnam U1933008:19
2Chinese Taipei U1932015:26
3Macau U1931021:43
4Laos U1930030:70
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan U19330016:19
2Thailand U1932019:56
3Mongolia U1931026:143
4Singapore U1930033:140
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Australia U1922007:16
2North Korea U1921016:53
3Hong Kong U1920021:80
4Northern Mariana Islands U1900000:00
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams