Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hong Kong vs Chinese Taipei

Asia Asia

EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Orr M.
29' Event
Yao-hsing Yu
87' Event
Tsui Wang-Kit

AI Match Summary

The EAFF E-1 Football Championship game between Hong Kong and Chinese Taipei finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hong Kong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Hong Kong
6%
Draws
4%
Chinese Taipei
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hong Kong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chinese Taipei haven't matched Hong Kong's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Hong Kong taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Hong Kong here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Hong Kong Clean Sheet 68%
Chinese Taipei Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hong Kong Chinese Taipei
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 2 0.6
Goals Conceded 2 4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2024 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Hong Kong vs Chinese Taipei
2:1
Jun 11, 2019 Friendly International
Hong Kong vs Chinese Taipei
0:2
Nov 11, 2018 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong
1:2
Nov 9, 2016 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Hong Kong vs Chinese Taipei
4:2
Nov 16, 2014 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hong Kong Compare

Top Goalscorer Orr M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tsui Wang-Kit
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Chinese Taipei Compare

Top Goalscorer Yao-hsing Yu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hong Kong 95 / 100
Chinese Taipei 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hong Kong Chinese Taipei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hong Kong scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Chinese Taipei's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Chinese Taipei's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Hong Kong VS Chinese Taipei
2 Goals Scored 0.6
2 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Hong Kong

(Home)
09 Jun
Cambodia
2 : 0
Hong Kong
05 Jun
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Mongolia
31 Mar
India
2 : 1
Hong Kong
03 Jan
Guangdong XI
3 : 2
Hong Kong
28 Dec
Hong Kong
2 : 2
Guangdong XI
Page 1 of 7

Chinese Taipei

(Away)
31 Mar
Chinese Taipei
1 : 3
Sri Lanka
18 Nov
Turkmenistan
3 : 1
Chinese Taipei
14 Oct
Chinese Taipei
1 : 6
Thailand
09 Oct
Thailand
2 : 0
Chinese Taipei
05 Sept
Indonesia
6 : 0
Chinese Taipei
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guam11002:13
2Macau10011:20
Promotion - EAFF E-1 Football Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hong Kong22005:16
2Chinese Taipei21015:23
3Mongolia20020:70
Promotion - EAFF E-1 Football Championship (Play Offs)