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Hong Kong W vs Philippines W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Games Women Nagaragawa Stadium, Gifu
Hong Kong W Logo

Hong Kong W

0 - 2
FT
Philippines W Logo

Philippines W

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Leach S.
46'
Sub
Chan Y. In: Tsang L. M. H.
Out: Chan Y.
46'
Sub
Shan C. In: Ling Lucia K. P.
Out: Shan C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Asian Games Women game between Hong Kong W and Philippines W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Philippines W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Hong Kong W
15%
Draws
34%
Philippines W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hong Kong W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Hong Kong W haven't matched Philippines W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Philippines W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Asian Games Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Philippines W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Hong Kong W Clean Sheet 20%
Philippines W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hong Kong W Philippines W
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 2 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.46 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Asian Games Women
Hong Kong W vs Philippines W
0:2
Jul 5, 2025 Asian Cup Women
Philippines W vs Hong Kong W
1:0
Sep 22, 2023 Asian Games Women
Hong Kong W vs Philippines W
1:3
Apr 11, 2023 Olympic Games Women
Philippines W vs Hong Kong W
4:0
Sep 24, 2021 Asian Cup Women
Philippines W vs Hong Kong W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hong Kong W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Philippines W Compare

Top Goalscorer Leach S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramirez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hong Kong W 16 / 100
Philippines W 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hong Kong W Philippines W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Philippines W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hong Kong W found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (26 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Philippines W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Philippines W conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hong Kong W VS Philippines W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hong Kong W

(Home)
21 Sept
Uzbekistan W
2 : 1
Hong Kong W
17 Sept
Hong Kong W
0 : 2
Philippines W
14 Sept
China W
5 : 1
Hong Kong W
06 Jun
Hong Kong W
3 : 1
Fiji W
03 Jun
Hong Kong W
3 : 2
Fiji W
Page 1 of 6

Philippines W

(Away)
09 Oct
Peru W
2 : 1
Philippines W
25 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0
Philippines W
21 Sept
China W
5 : 1
Philippines W
17 Sept
Hong Kong W
0 : 2
Philippines W
14 Sept
Philippines W
1 : 1
Uzbekistan W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan W 3 3 0 0 20:0 9
2 Chinese Taipei W 3 2 0 1 3:5 6
3 Vietnam W 3 0 1 2 1:10 1
4 Thailand W 3 0 1 2 0:9 1
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea W 3 2 1 0 19:1 7
2 South Korea W 3 2 1 0 12:1 7
3 Myanmar W 3 0 1 2 0:13 1
4 Bangladesh W 3 0 1 2 0:16 1
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China W 3 2 1 0 11:3 7
2 Uzbekistan W 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Philippines W 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
4 Hong Kong W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams