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Hong Ngai vs Porto Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Porto in this Elite League 2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Porto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Hong Ngai
15%
Draws
85%
Porto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Porto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Porto lately — more wins on the board than Hong Ngai.
  • Win probability leans Porto's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Elite League 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Porto have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hong Ngai Clean Sheet 10%
Porto Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hong Ngai Porto
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 16
Draws 0 6
Losses 25 10
Goals Scored 1.07 2.31
Goals Conceded 3.9 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2012 Elite League
Porto vs Hong Ngai
4:1
Mar 17, 2012 Elite League
Hong Ngai vs Porto
0:11
May 20, 2011 Elite League
Hong Ngai vs Porto
1:3
Feb 26, 2011 Elite League
Porto vs Hong Ngai
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hong Ngai 10 / 100
Porto 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hong Ngai Porto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.75 goals per match.

Porto let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Hong Ngai scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Porto's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hong Ngai VS Porto
0.13 Goals Scored 3.13
5.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hong Ngai

(Home)
09 Jun
Porto
4 : 1
Hong Ngai
03 Jun
Monte Carlo
2 : 1
Hong Ngai
20 May
Macau U23
4 : 0
Hong Ngai
10 May
Hong Ngai
0 : 3
Benfica
06 May
Kuan Tai
4 : 1
Hong Ngai
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Porto

(Away)
09 Jun
Porto
4 : 1
Hong Ngai
03 Jun
Porto
1 : 0
Lam Pak
27 May
Monte Carlo
2 : 1
Porto
19 May
Porto
2 : 0
Policia
10 May
Tak Chun Ka I
2 : 2
Porto
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