Sport Picks

Macao

Elite League 2011

Tak Chun Ka I

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hong Ngai play Tak Chun Ka I in the Elite League 2011. Tak Chun Ka I are favorites here. Recently, Hong Ngai averaged 1.32 goals scored and 3.84 conceded. Tak Chun Ka I averaged 2.95 goals scored and 2.95 conceded. In past meetings, Hong Ngai won 0, Tak Chun Ka I won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 1, 2012 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.35 for Hong Ngai and 0.99 for Tak Chun Ka I. This points to a Tak Chun Ka I double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Hong Ngai

15%

Draws

67%

Tak Chun Ka I

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tak Chun Ka I

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Hong Ngai picked up more points recently compared to Tak Chun Ka I.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.35 vs 0.99 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 99%

Over 2.5 Goals 90%

Over 3.5 Goals 54%

Over 4.5 Goals 27%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Hong Ngai Clean Sheet 23%

Tak Chun Ka I Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 89%

Second Half Goal 94%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hong Ngai	Tak Chun Ka I
Matches Played	31	55
Wins	6	27
Draws	0	2
Losses	25	26
Goals Scored	1.32	2.95
Goals Conceded	3.84	2.95

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2012 Elite League

Tak Chun Ka I vs Hong Ngai

Possession: 43% - 56% Cards: 4 - 4

6:0

Jan 15, 2012 Elite League

Hong Ngai vs Tak Chun Ka I

Possession: 49% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

0:10

May 2, 2011 Elite League

Tak Chun Ka I vs Hong Ngai

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

7:1

Jan 23, 2011 Elite League

Hong Ngai vs Tak Chun Ka I

Possession: 50% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

2:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hong Ngai 21 / 100

Tak Chun Ka I 62 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hong Ngai Tak Chun Ka I

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tak Chun Ka I Win (2)

Secondary Pick Tak Chun Ka I & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +80%

10.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.1%

1.19

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hong Ngai attacking → ← attacking Tak Chun Ka I

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hong Ngai scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Tak Chun Ka I let in goals in 75% of their last 55 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Hong Ngai went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Tak Chun Ka I lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 83

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.50