Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026

Hopaspor

4 - 1

Amasyaspor

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Cici M.

(Penalty)

39'

Hicin H.

61'

Sagir G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 game between Hopaspor and Amasyaspor finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hopaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Hopaspor

Draws

Amasyaspor

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hopaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Amasyaspor have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — Hopaspor are scoring more at 1.25.
Win probability leans Hopaspor's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Hopaspor Clean Sheet 68%

Amasyaspor Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hopaspor	Amasyaspor
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	9
Draws	5	6
Losses	16	15
Goals Scored	1.25	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 3. Lig Group 3

Hopaspor vs Amasyaspor

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

4:1

Dec 12, 2025 3. Lig Group 3

Amasyaspor vs Hopaspor

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

3:2

Apr 4, 1999 1. Lig

Amasyaspor vs Hopaspor

Possession: 60% - 50% Cards: 4 - 1

2:0

Feb 14, 1999 1. Lig

Hopaspor vs Amasyaspor

Possession: 43% - 55% Cards: 0 - 1

2:0

Nov 1, 1998 1. Lig

Amasyaspor vs Hopaspor

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 0 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hopaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Memmun S. A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cici M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Amasyaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Sagir G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hopaspor 95 / 100

Amasyaspor 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hopaspor Amasyaspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hopaspor's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Amasyaspor has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Hopaspor has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hopaspor VS Amasyaspor

1.25 Goals Scored 1.13

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63

88% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sebat Spor Kulubu	30	20	7	3	56:23	67
2	52 Orduspor	30	18	4	8	68:30	58
3	Karadeniz Eregli	30	16	9	5	44:29	57
4	Yozgat	30	17	6	7	58:27	57
5	Fatsa Bld.	30	15	4	11	40:32	49
6	Zonguldak Komurspor	30	13	7	10	48:30	46
7	Pazarspor	30	11	10	9	29:31	43
8	Karabuk Idmanyurdu	30	12	5	13	32:47	41
9	Duzcespor	30	11	7	12	30:36	40
10	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	30	10	6	14	31:38	36
11	Orduspor 1967	30	9	7	14	35:51	34
12	Amasyaspor	30	9	6	15	28:40	33
13	Hopaspor	30	9	5	16	38:50	32
14	Bulancakspor	30	8	5	17	30:60	29
15	Cayeli SK	30	5	9	16	25:46	24
16	Giresunspor	30	4	9	17	21:43	21