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Hopaspor vs Arguvan Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Hacimustafaoglu Y.
74' Event
Ozkabak R.
90' Event
Civelek O.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 game between Hopaspor and Arguvan finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hopaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Hopaspor
15%
Draws
21%
Arguvan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hopaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hopaspor come out ahead of Arguvan on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Hopaspor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hopaspor have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Hopaspor Clean Sheet 17%
Arguvan Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hopaspor Arguvan
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.31 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.56 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Hopaspor vs Arguvan
3:0
Sep 23, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Arguvan vs Hopaspor
0:1
May 7, 2023 3. Lig Group 3
Hopaspor vs Arguvan
3:0
Dec 4, 2022 3. Lig Group 3
Arguvan vs Hopaspor
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hopaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Hacimustafaoglu Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ozkabak R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Arguvan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hopaspor 84 / 100
Arguvan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hopaspor Arguvan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hopaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arguvan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Hopaspor scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Hopaspor stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hopaspor VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hopaspor

(Home)
18 Apr
Hopaspor
7 : 3
Bulancakspor
12 Apr
Cayeli SK
3 : 2
Hopaspor
05 Apr
Hopaspor
4 : 1
Amasyaspor
29 Mar
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
3 : 1
Hopaspor
25 Mar
Hopaspor
2 : 1
Zonguldak Komurspor
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Arguvan

(Away)
27 Apr
Arguvan
3 : 4
Erciyes 38
21 Apr
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
2 : 5
Arguvan
14 Apr
Arguvan
1 : 5
Inegol Kafkas
07 Apr
Edirnespor Genclik
2 : 1
Arguvan
03 Apr
Arguvan
2 : 4
Kepez Bld.
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kepez Bld. 28 22 4 2 67:18 70
2 Aliaga 28 19 9 0 60:18 66
3 Ayvalikgucu 28 15 7 6 40:25 52
4 52 Orduspor 28 14 7 7 40:28 49
5 Inegol Kafkas 28 13 8 7 37:30 47
6 Edirnespor Genclik 28 13 5 10 45:28 44
7 Mardin 1969 28 12 5 11 40:34 41
8 Kucukcekmece 28 10 8 10 41:31 38
9 Karabuk Idmanyurdu 28 10 5 13 27:44 35
10 Hopaspor 28 9 7 12 33:29 34
11 Erciyes 38 28 10 4 14 34:45 34
12 Kirikkale FK 28 8 5 15 31:42 29
13 Gumushanespor 28 4 10 14 25:49 22
14 Arguvan 28 3 4 21 21:57 13
15 Tarsus 28 2 4 22 20:83 10
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)