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Hopaspor vs Arguvan

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hopaspor play Arguvan in the 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024. Hopaspor are favorites here. Recently, Hopaspor averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. Arguvan averaged 0.83 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, Hopaspor won 3, Arguvan won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 4, 2024 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Hopaspor and 1.38 for Arguvan. This points to a Hopaspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Hopaspor
17%
Draws
22%
Arguvan
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Hopaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Hopaspor picked up more points recently compared to Arguvan.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Hopaspor Clean Sheet 17%
Arguvan Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hopaspor Arguvan
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.31 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.56 2.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Hopaspor vs Arguvan
3:0
Sep 23, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Arguvan vs Hopaspor
0:1
May 7, 2023 3. Lig Group 3
Hopaspor vs Arguvan
3:0
Dec 4, 2022 3. Lig Group 3
Arguvan vs Hopaspor
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hopaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Hacimustafaoglu Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ozkabak R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Arguvan Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hopaspor 58 / 100
Arguvan 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hopaspor Arguvan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hopaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Hopaspor & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hopaspor attacking → ← attacking Arguvan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hopaspor scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Arguvan let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Hopaspor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Arguvan lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 18
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kepez Bld.28224267:1870
2Aliaga28199060:1866
3Ayvalikgucu28157640:2552
452 Orduspor28147740:2849
5Inegol Kafkas28138737:3047
6Edirnespor Genclik281351045:2844
7Mardin 1969281251140:3441
8Kucukcekmece281081041:3138
9Karabuk Idmanyurdu281051327:4435
10Hopaspor28971233:2934
11Erciyes 38281041434:4534
12Kirikkale FK28851531:4229
13Gumushanespor284101425:4922
14Arguvan28342121:5713
15Tarsus28242220:8310