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Hopaspor vs Cayeli SK

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Altindas A. E.
Assist: Aygoren E.
90' Event
Aygoren E.
Assist: Yolcu Y.

AI Match Summary

Hopaspor in this 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hopaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Hopaspor
15%
Draws
37%
Cayeli SK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hopaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hopaspor lately — more wins on the board than Cayeli SK.
  • Win probability leans Hopaspor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Hopaspor Clean Sheet 68%
Cayeli SK Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hopaspor Cayeli SK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 5 9
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.27 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Cayeli SK vs Hopaspor
3:2
Dec 16, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Hopaspor vs Cayeli SK
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hopaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Altindas A. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aygoren E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Cayeli SK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hopaspor 95 / 100
Cayeli SK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hopaspor Cayeli SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hopaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cayeli SK conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Hopaspor scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Hopaspor has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hopaspor VS Cayeli SK
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hopaspor

(Home)
18 Apr
Hopaspor
7 : 3
Bulancakspor
12 Apr
Cayeli SK
3 : 2
Hopaspor
05 Apr
Hopaspor
4 : 1
Amasyaspor
29 Mar
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
3 : 1
Hopaspor
25 Mar
Hopaspor
2 : 1
Zonguldak Komurspor
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Cayeli SK

(Away)
18 Apr
Fatsa Bld.
5 : 1
Cayeli SK
12 Apr
Cayeli SK
3 : 2
Hopaspor
05 Apr
Karadeniz Eregli
1 : 0
Cayeli SK
28 Mar
Cayeli SK
0 : 0
Sebat Spor Kulubu
24 Mar
Orduspor 1967
1 : 3
Cayeli SK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sebat Spor Kulubu 30 20 7 3 56:23 67
2 52 Orduspor 30 18 4 8 68:30 58
3 Karadeniz Eregli 30 16 9 5 44:29 57
4 Yozgat 30 17 6 7 58:27 57
5 Fatsa Bld. 30 15 4 11 40:32 49
6 Zonguldak Komurspor 30 13 7 10 48:30 46
7 Pazarspor 30 11 10 9 29:31 43
8 Karabuk Idmanyurdu 30 12 5 13 32:47 41
9 Duzcespor 30 11 7 12 30:36 40
10 Tokat Bld Plevnespor 30 10 6 14 31:38 36
11 Orduspor 1967 30 9 7 14 35:51 34
12 Amasyaspor 30 9 6 15 28:40 33
13 Hopaspor 30 9 5 16 38:50 32
14 Bulancakspor 30 8 5 17 30:60 29
15 Cayeli SK 30 5 9 16 25:46 24
16 Giresunspor 30 4 9 17 21:43 21
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)