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Hopital vs Gendarmerie

Djibouti Djibouti

Division 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hopital in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hopital.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Hopital
6%
Draws
90%
Gendarmerie
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gendarmerie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gendarmerie have won more games recently than Hopital.
  • Win probability leans Gendarmerie's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Hopital Clean Sheet 15%
Gendarmerie Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hopital Gendarmerie
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 12
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Division 1
Gendarmerie vs Hopital
1:1
Nov 21, 2024 Division 1
Hopital vs Gendarmerie
1:0
Apr 19, 2024 Division 1
Hopital vs Gendarmerie
1:1
Dec 8, 2023 Division 1
Gendarmerie vs Hopital
1:2
Mar 18, 2023 Division 1
Gendarmerie vs Hopital
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hopital 10 / 100
Gendarmerie 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hopital Gendarmerie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hopital's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Gendarmerie conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Hopital stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hopital VS Gendarmerie
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hopital

(Home)
24 May
ASAS
10 : 3
Hopital
02 May
AS Arta
4 : 0
Hopital
25 Apr
Hopital
1 : 1
FC Arta
17 Apr
Garde-Cotes
3 : 0
Hopital
13 Apr
Hopital
3 : 1
Nurie Transit
Page 1 of 6

Gendarmerie

(Away)
09 May
Gendarmerie
2 : 0
Nurie Transit
02 May
Gendarmerie
0 : 0
ASAS
25 Apr
CF GR/SIAF
0 : 2
Gendarmerie
18 Apr
Gendarmerie
2 : 3
AS Arta
10 Apr
FC Arta
1 : 1
Gendarmerie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ASAS18124244:1740
2Garde-Cotes18105327:1232
3AS Arta1894527:1731
4Dikhil1885527:1929
5Port1883716:1527
6Gendarmerie1868421:1926
7CF GR/SIAF1865715:1823
8FC Arta1827921:3113
9Hopital18241216:4210
10Nurie Transit18151217:418
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)