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Hordur Isafjordur vs Vestri

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hordur Isafjordur play Vestri in the Icelandic Cup 2020. Vestri are favorites here. Recently, Hordur Isafjordur averaged 0.6 goals scored and 5.4 conceded. Vestri averaged 1.43 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. In past meetings, Hordur Isafjordur won 0, Vestri won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 6, 2020 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for Hordur Isafjordur and 1.30 for Vestri. This points to a Vestri double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Hordur Isafjordur
15%
Draws
69%
Vestri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vestri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Hordur Isafjordur picked up more points recently compared to Vestri.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Hordur Isafjordur Clean Sheet 19%
Vestri Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hordur Isafjordur Vestri
Matches Played 10 30
Wins 0 9
Draws 0 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.6 1.43
Goals Conceded 5.4 2.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2020 Icelandic Cup
Hordur Isafjordur vs Vestri
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hordur Isafjordur Compare

Top Goalscorer Gudmundsson H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Vestri Compare

Top Goalscorer Fall S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Plazonic Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hordur Isafjordur 18 / 100
Vestri 64 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hordur Isafjordur Vestri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vestri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Vestri & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hordur Isafjordur attacking → ← attacking Vestri

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hordur Isafjordur scored in 50% of their last 10 games.

Vestri let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Hordur Isafjordur went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Vestri lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 33
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50