Sport Picks

Horizonte vs Ferroviario - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil

Serie D 2025 Domingão, Horizonte

Horizonte

2 - 0

Ferroviario

Our Tip

Match Events

39'

Cesar Sampaio

78'

Caio

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Horizonte in this Serie D 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Horizonte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%

Horizonte

20%

Draws

70%

Ferroviario

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ferroviario

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Ferroviario lately — more wins on the board than Horizonte.
70% — that's where the model lands on Ferroviario taking it.
Regular Serie D 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Horizonte Clean Sheet 19%

Ferroviario Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Horizonte	Ferroviario
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	8	14
Draws	8	9
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	0.97	1.18
Goals Conceded	1.37	1.15
Expected Goals (xG)	1.29	1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Cearense

Ferroviario vs Horizonte

2:2

Jul 13, 2025 Serie D

Horizonte vs Ferroviario

2:0

May 4, 2025 Serie D

Ferroviario vs Horizonte

1:0

Jan 19, 2025 Cearense

Ferroviario vs Horizonte

1:2

Jan 19, 2020 Cearense

Ferroviario vs Horizonte

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Horizonte Compare

Top Goalscorer Cesar Sampaio

1 Goals

Assists Leader Caio

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.99

Avg xA / game 0.65

Ferroviario Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18

Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horizonte 12 / 100

Ferroviario 86 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Horizonte Ferroviario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviario Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Horizonte scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Horizonte stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ferroviario

0 Goals Scored 1.5

0 Goals Conceded 1.38

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Horizonte

(Home)

11 Feb

Iguatu

3 : 1

Horizonte

07 Feb

Horizonte

0 : 1

Floresta EC

01 Feb

Ceara

4 : 0

Horizonte

27 Jan

Iguatu

1 : 1

Horizonte

22 Jan

Horizonte

0 : 1

Fortaleza

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Ferroviario

(Away)

26 Jul

Ferroviario

1 : 2

Goiatuba EC

18 Jul

Goiatuba EC

3 : 0

Ferroviario

12 Jul

Ferroviario

3 : 0

Imperatriz

04 Jul

Imperatriz

1 : 1

Ferroviario

28 Jun

Ferroviario

2 : 0

Central SC

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