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Horizonte vs Fortaleza

Brazil Brazil

Cearense Domingão, Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Luan Freitas
32'
Queiroz K.
38' Event
Rodrigo

AI Match Summary

Fortaleza in this Cearense matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fortaleza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Horizonte
30%
Draws
64%
Fortaleza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fortaleza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fortaleza lately — more wins on the board than Horizonte.
  • Win probability leans Fortaleza's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Cearense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Horizonte Clean Sheet 22%
Fortaleza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horizonte Fortaleza
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 8 18
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2026 Cearense
Horizonte vs Fortaleza
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Cearense
Horizonte vs Fortaleza
1:3
Jan 20, 2024 Cearense
Fortaleza vs Horizonte
2:0
Feb 28, 2019 Cearense
Horizonte vs Fortaleza
1:0
Jan 28, 2018 Cearense
Horizonte vs Fortaleza
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Horizonte Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Fortaleza Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horizonte 10 / 100
Fortaleza 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horizonte Fortaleza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Horizonte found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Fortaleza has conceded goals in 51% of their last 37 outings.

Horizonte went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fortaleza
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Horizonte

(Home)
11 Feb
Iguatu
3 : 1
Horizonte
07 Feb
Horizonte
0 : 1
Floresta EC
01 Feb
Ceara
4 : 0
Horizonte
27 Jan
Iguatu
1 : 1
Horizonte
22 Jan
Horizonte
0 : 1
Fortaleza
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Fortaleza

(Away)
20 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Fortaleza
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Ceara
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Avai
05 Sept
Goias
0 : 1
Fortaleza
31 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Operario-PR
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza 4 3 1 0 6:0 10
2 Ferroviario 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Horizonte 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
4 Quixada 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
5 Maracana 4 0 0 4 1:5 0
Promotion - Cearense (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cearense (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Floresta EC 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
3 Iguatu 4 1 3 0 4:2 6
4 Maranguape 4 1 0 3 1:6 3
5 Tirol 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
Promotion - Cearense (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cearense (Relegation Group)