Sport Picks
Hornchurch vs Aldershot - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League Hornchurch Stadium, London 
Match Events
25'
25'
Poleon D.
44'
44'
Sandah H.
Assist: Dinanga M.
60'
60'
Alexander G.
AI Match Summary
The National League game between Hornchurch and Aldershot finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hornchurch.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hornchurch
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Hornchurch carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Hornchurch Clean Sheet 16%
Aldershot Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hornchurch | Aldershot |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 29, 2026 National League
Hornchurch vs Aldershot
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hornchurch Compare
Top Goalscorer Poleon D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alexander G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Aldershot Compare
Top Goalscorer Sandah H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hornchurch 36 / 100
Aldershot 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hornchurch Aldershot
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aldershot Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hornchurch scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Aldershot's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Aldershot lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hornchurch VS Aldershot
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Hornchurch
(Home) 06 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2 Fulham U21
03 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 0 Hornchurch
29 Sept
Hornchurch
2 : 1 Aldershot
26 Sept
Altrincham
3 : 0 Hornchurch
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2 Fulham U21
29 Sept
Hornchurch
2 : 1 Aldershot
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Hornchurch
3 : 0 Ipswich U21
05 Sept
Hornchurch
0 : 1 Forest Green
Page 1 of 4
Aldershot
(Away) 03 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 3 Carlisle
29 Sept
Hornchurch
2 : 1 Aldershot
26 Sept
Aldershot
5 : 1 Tamworth
19 Sept
Barrow
1 : 0 Aldershot
15 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 1 Yeovil
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Hornchurch
2 : 1 Aldershot
19 Sept
Barrow
1 : 0 Aldershot
12 Sept
Solihull Moors
1 : 2 Aldershot
31 Aug
Eastleigh
1 : 1 Aldershot
22 Aug
Kidderminster
1 : 1 Aldershot
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 34:13 | 35 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Southend | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Yeovil | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 26:15 | 22 |
| 5 | Worthing FC | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:18 | 21 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 17:18 | 21 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 8 | Kidderminster | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 19 |
| 9 | Barrow | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:15 | 18 |
| 10 | Aldershot | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:13 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | 18 |
| 12 | Hornchurch | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 13:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Halifax | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23:20 | 16 |
| 15 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:28 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17:18 | 12 |
| 20 | Boston United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 22 | Hartlepool | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13:30 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7:27 | 4 |
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