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Hornchurch vs West Ham U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Cup Hornchurch Stadium, London
Tue, Nov 3, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the National League Cup. This one's hard to separate. West Ham U21 have shipped 1.7 goals a game lately, while Hornchurch have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.62. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 0.56 vs 1.38, favoring Hornchurch. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Hornchurch
15%
Draws
53%
West Ham U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: West Ham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hornchurch lately — more wins on the board than West Ham U21.
  • Win probability leans West Ham U21's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Hornchurch have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Hornchurch Clean Sheet 17%
West Ham U21 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hornchurch West Ham U21
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 16 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.62 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hornchurch 20 / 100
West Ham U21 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hornchurch West Ham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West Ham U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hornchurch found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

West Ham U21 let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Hornchurch went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

West Ham U21 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hornchurch VS West Ham U21
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hornchurch

(Home)
10 Oct
Hornchurch
2 : 0
Eastleigh
06 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2
Fulham U21
03 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 0
Hornchurch
29 Sept
Hornchurch
2 : 1
Aldershot
26 Sept
Altrincham
3 : 0
Hornchurch
Page 1 of 6

West Ham U21

(Away)
13 Oct
Braintree
2 : 4
West Ham U21
09 Oct
Millwall U21
1 : 0
West Ham U21
23 Sept
West Ham U21
2 : 0
Valencia B
18 Sept
Leicester U21
0 : 0
West Ham U21
14 Sept
West Ham U21
1 : 0
Liverpool U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 3 3 0 0 13:4 9
2 Scunthorpe 3 3 0 0 8:3 8
3 Wolves U21 3 2 0 1 3:4 5
4 Derby U21 3 1 0 2 7:9 4
5 Wealdstone 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
6 Nottingham U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
7 Gateshead 3 0 0 3 2:4 2
8 Stoke City U21 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Norwich U21 3 2 0 1 5:6 5
3 Ipswich U21 3 2 0 1 3:5 5
4 Hornchurch 3 1 0 2 5:3 4
5 Aldershot 3 1 0 2 7:8 4
6 Braintree 3 1 0 2 5:6 4
7 Fulham U21 3 2 0 1 4:5 4
8 Worthing FC 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Boreham Wood 3 2 0 1 8:4 7
3 Tamworth 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
4 Solihull Moors 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
5 Everton U21 3 2 0 1 2:2 5
6 Newcastle Utd U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
7 Leeds U21 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
8 Hartlepool 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truro 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Woking 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Sutton 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
4 West Brom U21 3 2 0 1 3:3 5
5 Birmingham U21 3 2 0 1 4:6 5
6 Southampton U21 3 1 0 2 8:11 3
7 Leicester U21 3 0 0 3 3:6 2
8 Boston United 3 0 0 3 7:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)