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Horndean vs Bognor Regis

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Higgs T.
49' Event
Mather J.
73' Event
Trialist

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Horndean and Bognor Regis finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bognor Regis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Horndean
15%
Draws
37%
Bognor Regis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Horndean

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bognor Regis come out ahead of Horndean on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bognor Regis a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bognor Regis here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Horndean Clean Sheet 20%
Bognor Regis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horndean Bognor Regis
Matches Played 24 32
Wins 7 12
Draws 1 5
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.04 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Horndean vs Bognor Regis
1:0
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Horndean vs Bognor Regis
0:4
Jul 24, 2021 Club Friendly
Horndean vs Bognor Regis
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Horndean Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Bognor Regis Compare

Top Goalscorer Higgs T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mather J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horndean 28 / 100
Bognor Regis 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horndean Bognor Regis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bognor Regis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bognor Regis conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Horndean stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Horndean scored in 54% of their last 24 outings.

Scoring Trends

Horndean VS Bognor Regis
0 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Horndean

(Home)
06 Sept
Bedfont Sports
1 : 0
Horndean
05 Oct
Tavistock
3 : 1
Horndean
21 Sept
Exmouth Town
1 : 2
Horndean
07 Sept
Horndean
3 : 0
Binfield
27 Jul
Horndean
1 : 0
Bognor Regis
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Bognor Regis

(Away)
12 Sept
Hastings
2 : 1
Bognor Regis
29 Aug
Bognor Regis
3 : 0
South Park
01 Aug
Bognor Regis
1 : 1
Chichester City
25 Jul
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 4
Bognor Regis
18 Jul
Sholing
3 : 2
Bognor Regis
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