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Horoya vs Renaissance

Guinea Guinea

Ligue 1
Horoya Logo

Horoya

2 - 1
FT
Renaissance Logo

Renaissance

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Horoya and Renaissance finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Horoya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Horoya
35%
Draws
30%
Renaissance
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Renaissance haven't matched Horoya's recent run of results.
  • 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Horoya Clean Sheet 20%
Renaissance Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horoya Renaissance
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.47 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Ligue 1
Horoya vs Renaissance
2:1
Nov 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Renaissance vs Horoya
0:0
Jun 1, 2025 Ligue 1
Renaissance vs Horoya
1:0
Feb 15, 2025 Ligue 1
Horoya vs Renaissance
2:0
May 22, 2024 Ligue 1
Renaissance vs Horoya
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horoya 36 / 100
Renaissance 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horoya Renaissance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renaissance Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horoya scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Renaissance conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Horoya has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Horoya VS Renaissance
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Horoya

(Home)
04 Sept
Saoura
1 : 0
Horoya
22 Apr
CI Kamsar
3 : 0
Horoya
17 Apr
Horoya
2 : 1
Wakriya AC
11 Apr
Horoya
2 : 1
Hafia
06 Apr
Ashanti GB (SAG)
0 : 0
Horoya
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Renaissance

(Away)
21 Apr
Renaissance
3 : 2
Kaloum Star
17 Apr
Renaissance
0 : 0
Loubha
13 Apr
Wakriya AC
2 : 1
Renaissance
07 Apr
Renaissance
0 : 0
Hafia
03 Apr
Renaissance
1 : 1
CI Kamsar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Horoya 26 17 5 4 42:19 56
2 Hafia 26 15 7 4 34:16 52
3 CI Kamsar 26 15 3 8 37:21 48
4 Kaloum Star 26 12 8 6 31:18 44
5 Milo FC 26 11 10 5 33:18 43
6 Wakriya AC 26 8 9 9 22:26 33
7 ASFAG 26 9 5 12 31:35 32
8 Foot Elite 26 8 6 12 30:41 30
9 Sangaredi 26 7 8 11 22:28 29
10 Ashanti GB (SAG) 26 7 8 11 23:32 29
11 RCC Kamsar 26 7 7 12 25:31 28
12 Karfamoriah 26 7 7 12 24:33 28
13 Renaissance 26 6 8 12 20:35 26
14 Loubha 26 4 7 15 14:35 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)