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Horoya vs Sangaredi

Guinea Guinea

Ligue 1
Horoya Logo

Horoya

2 - 1
FT
Sangaredi Logo

Sangaredi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Horoya and Sangaredi finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Horoya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Horoya
30%
Draws
23%
Sangaredi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Horoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sangaredi haven't matched Horoya's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Horoya taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Horoya Clean Sheet 20%
Sangaredi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horoya Sangaredi
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 21 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.78 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2026 Ligue 1
Horoya vs Sangaredi
2:1
Nov 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Sangaredi vs Horoya
0:3
Apr 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Sangaredi vs Horoya
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Ligue 1
Horoya vs Sangaredi
1:1
Jun 21, 2024 Ligue 1
Sangaredi vs Horoya
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horoya 40 / 100
Sangaredi 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horoya Sangaredi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Horoya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horoya found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Sangaredi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Horoya went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Horoya VS Sangaredi
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Horoya

(Home)
22 Apr
CI Kamsar
3 : 0
Horoya
17 Apr
Horoya
2 : 1
Wakriya AC
11 Apr
Horoya
2 : 1
Hafia
06 Apr
Ashanti GB (SAG)
0 : 0
Horoya
03 Apr
Milo FC
0 : 0
Horoya
Page 1 of 7

Sangaredi

(Away)
21 Apr
RCC Kamsar
3 : 1
Sangaredi
16 Apr
Sangaredi
1 : 1
Milo FC
12 Apr
Sangaredi
1 : 2
Karfamoriah
07 Apr
Kaloum Star
1 : 2
Sangaredi
03 Apr
Sangaredi
0 : 1
Hafia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Horoya 26 17 5 4 42:19 56
2 Hafia 26 15 7 4 34:16 52
3 CI Kamsar 26 15 3 8 37:21 48
4 Kaloum Star 26 12 8 6 31:18 44
5 Milo FC 26 11 10 5 33:18 43
6 Wakriya AC 26 8 9 9 22:26 33
7 ASFAG 26 9 5 12 31:35 32
8 Foot Elite 26 8 6 12 30:41 30
9 Sangaredi 26 7 8 11 22:28 29
10 Ashanti GB (SAG) 26 7 8 11 23:32 29
11 RCC Kamsar 26 7 7 12 25:31 28
12 Karfamoriah 26 7 7 12 24:33 28
13 Renaissance 26 6 8 12 20:35 26
14 Loubha 26 4 7 15 14:35 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)