Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Damascus Al-Ahli is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Horriya, backed by a win probability of 60%. Horriya averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in recent matches. Damascus Al-Ahli shows a form average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Horriya, 2 wins for Damascus Al-Ahli, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 19.06.26 ended in a 2:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.20 for Horriya and 1.00 for Damascus Al-Ahli, suggesting the primary value lies in the Damascus Al-Ahli double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Horriya picked up more points recently compared to Damascus Al-Ahli.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Horriya | Damascus Al-Ahli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Tactical Matchup Profile
Field Positions & Control Styles
Horriya
Damascus Al-Ahli
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Horriya Compare
Damascus Al-Ahli Compare
Availability Alerts
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Expected Match Flow Timeline
Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals
Damascus Al-Ahli will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Horriya will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Damascus Al-Ahli's early runs.
Expect Damascus Al-Ahli to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Horriya tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Damascus Al-Ahli increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Horriya's defense, opening up opportunities for Damascus Al-Ahli's forward line.
Expect Damascus Al-Ahli to manage the closing stages, while Horriya searches for late drama.
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Horriya have found the net in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Damascus Al-Ahli have conceded at least one goal in 79% of their last 29 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.20 goals per match.
Horriya remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Damascus Al-Ahli suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.
Match Risk Analysis
Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Ittihad Aleppo | 29 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 81:25 | 70 |
| 2 | Homs Al Fidaa | 29 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 54:12 | 69 |
| 3 | Al Wahda | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 51:24 | 59 |
| 4 | Al Karamah | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:29 | 55 |
| 5 | Hottin | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 33:36 | 45 |
| 6 | Al Taliya | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 31:24 | 44 |
| 7 | Tishreen | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 38:32 | 41 |
| 8 | Al Jaish | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 23:28 | 41 |
| 9 | Damascus Al-Ahli | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:42 | 36 |
| 10 | Al Shorta | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 29:46 | 33 |
| 11 | Horriya | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 29:34 | 32 |
| 12 | Foutoua | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 34:50 | 30 |
| 13 | Umayya | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 26:42 | 24 |
| 14 | Khan Shaykhun | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 26:52 | 23 |
| 15 | Jableh | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 25:56 | 22 |
| 16 | Al-Shouleh | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 14:49 | 17 |