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Horriya vs Damascus Al-Ahli

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Al-Hariri B.
18' Event
Alees M.
Own Goal
37' Event
Mensah G. A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Horriya and Damascus Al-Ahli finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Damascus Al-Ahli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Horriya
44%
Draws
20%
Damascus Al-Ahli
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Damascus Al-Ahli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Horriya Clean Sheet 20%
Damascus Al-Ahli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horriya Damascus Al-Ahli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Premier League
Horriya vs Damascus Al-Ahli
2:3
Mar 5, 2026 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Horriya
2:1
Dec 8, 2017 Premier League
Horriya vs Damascus Al-Ahli
0:0
Jul 5, 2017 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Horriya
0:2
Feb 11, 2017 Premier League
Horriya vs Damascus Al-Ahli
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Horriya Compare

Top Goalscorer Mensah G. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Damascus Al-Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Al-Hariri B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antwi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horriya 36 / 100
Damascus Al-Ahli 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horriya Damascus Al-Ahli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Damascus Al-Ahli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Horriya's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Horriya remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Horriya VS Damascus Al-Ahli
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad Aleppo30227183:2573
2Homs Al Fidaa30226255:1272
3Al Wahda30195653:2462
4Al Karamah30177655:3058
5Al Taliya301211732:2447
6Hottin301361133:3745
7Tishreen301111842:3444
8Al Jaish301011923:3041
9Damascus Al-Ahli301161337:4439
10Horriya301051530:3435
11Al Shorta30891329:4733
12Foutoua30931836:5330
13Umayya30591627:4424
14Khan Shaykhun30651926:5323
15Jableh30642027:6022
16Al-Shouleh30452114:5117