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Horseed vs Heegan

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Horseed and Heegan finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Horseed
20%
Draws
42%
Heegan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heegan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Heegan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Horseed Clean Sheet 10%
Heegan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horseed Heegan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 18
Draws 9 8
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 2 2.27
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 National league
Heegan vs Horseed
2:3
Apr 18, 2026 National league
Horseed vs Heegan
0:0
May 9, 2025 National league
Horseed vs Heegan
0:0
Jan 25, 2025 National league
Heegan vs Horseed
1:0
Aug 6, 2024 National league
Heegan vs Horseed
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horseed 29 / 100
Heegan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horseed Heegan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Horseed Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horseed scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Horseed remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Heegan has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Horseed VS Heegan
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Horseed

(Home)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
08 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Jubba
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
18 Jul
Mogadishu City
1 : 1
Horseed
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
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Heegan

(Away)
12 Sept
Heegan
0 : 3
EL Merriekh Bentiu
05 Sept
EL Merriekh Bentiu
1 : 0
Heegan
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)