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Horsham FC vs Maidstone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Horsham FC host Maidstone in the National League South. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Horsham FC at 1.03 goals for, 1.38 against; Maidstone at 2.14 for, 1.1 against. Past meetings favor Horsham FC slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.44) back Maidstone to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Horsham FC
30%
Draws
31%
Maidstone
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Horsham FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Maidstone have won more games recently than Horsham FC.
  • Horsham FC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Horsham FC Clean Sheet 16%
Maidstone Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horsham FC Maidstone
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 20
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.03 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 National League South
Horsham FC vs Maidstone
0:0
Sep 6, 2025 National League South
Maidstone vs Horsham FC
0:3
Nov 16, 2024 FA Trophy
Horsham FC vs Maidstone
2:1
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Horsham FC vs Maidstone
2:0
Nov 23, 2010 Isthmian League Premier Division
Horsham FC vs Maidstone
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horsham FC 39 / 100
Maidstone 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horsham FC Maidstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Horsham FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Maidstone conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Horsham FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Maidstone's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Horsham FC VS Maidstone
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Horsham FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 1
Horsham FC
26 Sept
Chelmsford
0 : 0
Horsham FC
19 Sept
Walton & Hersham
0 : 3
Horsham FC
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4
Chesham
08 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 1
Horsham FC
Page 1 of 6

Maidstone

(Away)
26 Sept
Maidstone
1 : 2
Truro
22 Sept
Maidstone
0 : 2
Cray Wanderers
19 Sept
Cray Wanderers
1 : 1
Maidstone
12 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Maidstone
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1
Maidstone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Truro 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
6 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
7 Farnham 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
8 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Ebbsfleet 6 3 3 0 7:3 12
15 Folkestone 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
16 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
17 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
18 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
19 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Braintree 10 3 1 6 17:25 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Walton & Hersham 10 1 2 7 9:27 5
24 Slough Town 10 1 1 8 10:24 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)